Cardiff City U21 2-1 Bristol City U21 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Professional Development League, 3 Oct 2025

📅03/10/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
59%
1.57
Draw
17%
4.19
Away
24%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
26%
Over 2.5
74%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
71%
1.43
No
29%
2.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
14%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
32%
6+ Goals
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
33%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
18%
X/2
7%
X/X
7%
2/1
8%
2/2
12%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
59%
Home Win
59%
+0.3pp
17%
Draw
20%
-3.2pp
24%
Away Win
21%
+2.9pp
71%
BTTS Yes
66%
+5.0pp
29%
BTTS No
34%
-5.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cardiff City U21 EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Bristol City U21 EU Bookmakers 25%
+9% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / -11%
2.78/0.54 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.24/2.88
+11% / +125% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -10% / -27%
51% Ball Possession 49%
16 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
351 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 330 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cardiff City U21
3W-1D-0L
AWAY Bristol City U21
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.75
25.02.2025 Bristol City U21 Bristol City U21 1-1 HT 1-0 Cardiff City U21 Cardiff City U21 INGPDL
04.11.2024 Cardiff City U21 Cardiff City U21 4-1 HT 1-0 Bristol City U21 Bristol City U21 INGPDL
13.02.2024 Bristol City U21 Bristol City U21 1-2 HT 0-1 Cardiff City U21 Cardiff City U21 INGPDL
07.11.2023 Cardiff City U21 Cardiff City U21 3-0 HT 2-0 Bristol City U21 Bristol City U21 INGPDL
POST-MATCH Cardiff City U21 vs Bristol City U21
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cardiff City U21 squeezed past Bristol City U21 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Cardiff City U21 as the likeliest winner at 59%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (74%), both teams to score (71%), and both reads landed as well.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Cardiff City U21 had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Cardiff City U21 and 0.75 for Bristol City U21.

What was the final score of Cardiff City U21 vs Bristol City U21?

Cardiff City U21 2-1 Bristol City U21 in the England - Professional Development League on 03/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cardiff City U21 vs Bristol City U21?

Before kick-off our model rated a Cardiff City U21 win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Cardiff City U21 59%, draw 17%, Bristol City U21 24%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Cardiff City U21), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Cardiff City U21) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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