Cardiff City U21 4-1 Bristol City U21 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Professional Development League, 4 Nov 2024

📅04/11/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.66
Draw
20%
4.08
Away
36%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
38%
2.96
Over 2.5
62%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.39
No
44%
2.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
16%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
33%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
7%
1/X
9%
X/1
18%
X/2
18%
X/X
6%
2/1
3%
2/2
11%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
56%
-12.2pp
20%
Draw
21%
-0.8pp
36%
Away Win
23%
+13.1pp
38%
Under 2.5
30%
+8.3pp
62%
Over 2.5
70%
-8.3pp
56%
BTTS Yes
68%
-12.2pp
44%
BTTS No
32%
+12.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cardiff City U21 EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY Bristol City U21 EU Bookmakers 26%
+1% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +20% / +20%
1.30/0.35 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.66/2.51
-39% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +61% / -25%
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
369 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 279 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cardiff City U21
2W-0D-0L
AWAY Bristol City U21
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
13.02.2024 Bristol City U21 Bristol City U21 1-2 HT 0-1 Cardiff City U21 Cardiff City U21 INGPDL
07.11.2023 Cardiff City U21 Cardiff City U21 3-0 HT 2-0 Bristol City U21 Bristol City U21 INGPDL
POST-MATCH Cardiff City U21 vs Bristol City U21
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cardiff City U21 cruised past Bristol City U21 4-1. Half-time: 1-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Cardiff City U21 as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (62%), both teams to score (56%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Cardiff City U21 had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Cardiff City U21 and 0.50 for Bristol City U21.

What was the final score of Cardiff City U21 vs Bristol City U21?

Cardiff City U21 4-1 Bristol City U21 in the England - Professional Development League on 04/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cardiff City U21 vs Bristol City U21?

Before kick-off our model rated a Cardiff City U21 win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Cardiff City U21 44%, draw 20%, Bristol City U21 36%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Cardiff City U21), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Cardiff City U21) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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