Crewe Alexandra U21 0-1 Coventry City U21 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Professional Development League, 4 Nov 2024

📅04/11/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.53
Draw
23%
3.94
Away
42%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
31%
2.96
Over 2.5
69%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
66%
1.35
No
34%
2.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
16%
2-3 Goals
28%
4-5 Goals
35%
6+ Goals
21%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
7%
1/X
3%
X/1
12%
X/2
8%
X/X
10%
2/1
6%
2/2
26%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
35%
-0.2pp
23%
Draw
22%
+1.7pp
41%
Away Win
43%
-1.6pp
31%
Under 2.5
30%
+0.8pp
69%
Over 2.5
70%
-0.8pp
66%
BTTS Yes
70%
-4.2pp
34%
BTTS No
30%
+4.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Crewe Alexandra U21 EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Coventry City U21 EU Bookmakers 48%
+42% / +42% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +38% / +38%
2.64/0.87 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 6.00/1.00
+53% / +143% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +150% / +75%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
350 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 378 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Crewe Alexandra U21
0W-0D-2L
AWAY Coventry City U21
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 4.00
13.02.2024 Coventry City U21 2-0 HT 0-0 Crewe Alexandra U21 Crewe Alexandra U21 INGPDL
27.11.2023 Crewe Alexandra U21 Crewe Alexandra U21 1-6 HT 0-2 Coventry City U21 INGPDL
POST-MATCH Crewe Alexandra U21 vs Coventry City U21
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Coventry City U21 squeezed past Crewe Alexandra U21 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Coventry City U21 as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (69%), both teams to score (66%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Coventry City U21 led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Crewe Alexandra U21 and 4.00 for Coventry City U21.

What was the final score of Crewe Alexandra U21 vs Coventry City U21?

Crewe Alexandra U21 0-1 Coventry City U21 in the England - Professional Development League on 04/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Crewe Alexandra U21 vs Coventry City U21?

Before kick-off our model rated an Coventry City U21 win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Crewe Alexandra U21 35%, draw 23%, Coventry City U21 41%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Coventry City U21) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Coventry City U21) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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