04/11/2024
·
16:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
2-2
2nd Score
2-1
Brentford U21 vs Millwall U21 Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
17%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
29%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
7%
X/2
8%
X/X
16%
2/1
9%
2/2
21%
2/X
7%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
42%
30%
Draw
23%
34%
Away Win
35%
42%
Under 2.5
28%
58%
Over 2.5
72%
53%
BTTS Yes
72%
47%
BTTS No
28%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Brentford U21 v Millwall U21 — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Brentford U21
EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY
Millwall U21
EU Bookmakers 39%
+0% /
+0%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+12% /
+12%
–/–
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
–/–
–
/
–
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
-1%
/
+19%
52%
Ball Possession
48%
10
Total Shots
14
3
Shots on Target
4
4
Corners
6
348 · 81%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
330 · 81%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
POST-MATCH
Brentford U21 vs Millwall U21
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Brentford U21 beat Millwall U21 3-1. Half-time: 3-0.
We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 30% / 34% — and on the day Brentford U21 made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (58%) came in.
What was the final score of Brentford U21 vs Millwall U21?
Brentford U21 3-1 Millwall U21 in the England - Professional Development League on 04/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Brentford U21 vs Millwall U21?
Before kick-off our model rated a Brentford U21 win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Brentford U21 36%, draw 30%, Millwall U21 34%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Brentford U21), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.
✓ Match Result (Brentford U21)
✓ Over 2.5
✓ BTTS Yes
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INGPDL
More England - Professional Development League
4 Nov 2024