Al Karkh 2-2 Naft — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iraq - Premier League, 3 Oct 2025

📅03/10/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
3.32
Draw
24%
2.94
Away
39%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.62
Over 2.5
46%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
2.19
No
50%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
16%
X/2
16%
X/X
10%
2/1
4%
2/2
18%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
27%
+10.2pp
24%
Draw
31%
-7.0pp
39%
Away Win
43%
-3.2pp
54%
Under 2.5
58%
-4.4pp
46%
Over 2.5
42%
+4.4pp
50%
BTTS Yes
42%
+8.0pp
50%
BTTS No
58%
-8.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Karkh EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Naft EU Bookmakers 46%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -7%
0.96/1.31 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.52/0.52
-11% / -16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -60% / +78%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
292 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 312 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Karkh
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Naft
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
27.04.2025 Al Karkh Al Karkh 1-1 HT 1-1 Naft Naft IRAK
POST-MATCH Al Karkh vs Naft
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Karkh and Naft shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 1-2.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 24% / 39% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

What was the final score of Al Karkh vs Naft?

Al Karkh 2-2 Naft in the Iraq - Premier League on 03/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Karkh vs Naft?

Before kick-off our model rated an Naft win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Al Karkh 37%, draw 24%, Naft 39%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Naft) ✗ Under 2.5
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