Trabzonspor 4-0 Kayserispor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - Super League, 3 Oct 2025

📅03/10/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home Pick
69%
1.45
Draw
18%
4.34
Away
13%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under
39%
2.23
Over
61%
1.61
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.76
No
47%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1
18%
4.38
2-3
45%
1.88
4-5
28%
2.84
6+
9%
8.02
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
43%
1.73
1/2
1%
35.0
1/X
4%
16.6
X/1
22%
4.02
X/2
5%
13.6
X/X
11%
6.71
2/1
4%
20.8
2/2
6%
10.95
2/X
4%
19.0
Value flag · X/1 at 4.02 — our 22% vs market 19.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
STRENGTH — pattern support: Good → Great · fuller bar = deeper record. Informational.
EV — the best model-vs-price gap in that group: the market pays more than our probability implies. After full time the tag settles to / . Informational, not a validated tip — edges play out over many matches, not one.
SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Trabzonspor The Market 69%
Head to Head
AWAY Kayserispor The Market 18%
Average Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Average
2.35 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 0.87
0.87 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 1.97
Average Attack Strength Average
Weak Defense Strength Average
55% Ball Possession 45%
16 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
372 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 286 · 76%
29 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16
20 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Trabzonspor
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Kayserispor
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.84 xG 1.61
58% Ball Possession 43%
16 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
406 Passes 279
84% Pass Accuracy 77%
27 Box Touches 21
22 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 3
01.02.2025 Kayserispor Kayserispor 0-0 HT 0-0 Trabzonspor Trabzonspor TSL
19.09.2024 Trabzonspor Trabzonspor 2-2 HT 0-1 Kayserispor Kayserispor TSL
20.04.2024 Kayserispor Kayserispor 1-2 HT 0-1 Trabzonspor Trabzonspor TSL
03.12.2023 Trabzonspor Trabzonspor 0-1 HT 0-0 Kayserispor Kayserispor TSL
01.04.2023 Trabzonspor Trabzonspor 3-4 HT 1-2 Kayserispor Kayserispor TSL
01.10.2022 Kayserispor Kayserispor 1-2 HT 1-0 Trabzonspor Trabzonspor TSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Trabzonspor
4 - 0
AWAY Kayserispor
3.64 xG 1.18
52% Ball Possession 48%
25 Total Shots 17
12 Shots on Target 7
6 Corners 2
370 Passes 319
86% Pass Accuracy 80%
35 Box Touches 22
14 Crosses 19
0 Yellow Cards 3
REVIEW Trabzonspor vs Kayserispor
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Trabzonspor dismantled Kayserispor 4-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Trabzonspor as the likeliest winner at 69%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (61%) came in.

The match data tells the story: Trabzonspor had 52% of the ball to Kayserispor's 48%, shots finished 25-17, expected goals 3.64 to 1.18.

The head-to-head backdrop: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Trabzonspor and 1.50 for Kayserispor.

Trabzonspor vs Kayserispor Result & Final Score

Trabzonspor 4 - 0 Kayserispor in the Turkey - Super League on 03/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Trabzonspor vs Kayserispor Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Trabzonspor win the most likely single outcome at about 69%, with the full match-result split Trabzonspor 69%, draw 18%, Kayserispor 13%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Trabzonspor), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Trabzonspor) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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