Örebro 2-1 Helsingborgs IF — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - Superettan, 3 Nov 2024

Örebro
2-1 HT 1-1
Helsingborgs IF
📅03/11/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Sweden - Superettan – 2024

Örebro vs Helsingborgs IF Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.25
Draw
30%
3.35
Away
31%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.91
Over 2.5
50%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.68
No
50%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
3.43
2-3 Goals
39%
1.79
4-5 Goals
24%
3.46
6+ Goals
11%
13.3
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
3.32
1/2
5%
30.5
1/X
7%
13.1
X/1
17%
5.13
X/2
12%
5.97
X/X
13%
4.72
2/1
6%
26.5
2/2
14%
4.1
2/X EV+ ✗
9%
13.25
Value flag · 2/X at 13.25 — our 9% vs market 4.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
41%
-1.6pp
30%
Draw
26%
+3.2pp
31%
Away Win
33%
-1.7pp
50%
Under 2.5
48%
+1.5pp
50%
Over 2.5
52%
-1.5pp
50%
BTTS Yes
56%
-5.2pp
50%
BTTS No
44%
+5.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Örebro v Helsingborgs IF — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Örebro EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Helsingborgs IF EU Bookmakers 37%
-3% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +12%
1.46/0.94 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.28/0.96
+0% / +28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +2% / +50%
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 6
278 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 326 · 80%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.8

Örebro vs Helsingborgs IF Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Örebro
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Helsingborgs IF
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.49 xG 1.80
54% Ball Possession 46%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
380 Passes 383
80% Pass Accuracy 82%
12 Box Touches 28
9 Crosses 28
1 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
16.06.2024 Helsingborgs IF Helsingborgs IF 1-0 HT 1-0 Örebro Örebro İSÇ2
03.10.2023 Helsingborgs IF Helsingborgs IF 4-1 HT 2-0 Örebro Örebro İSÇ2
28.05.2023 Örebro Örebro 1-1 HT 1-0 Helsingborgs IF Helsingborgs IF İSÇ2
25.10.2020 Örebro Örebro 3-2 HT 2-1 Helsingborgs IF Helsingborgs IF İSÇ
23.07.2020 Helsingborgs IF Helsingborgs IF 1-1 HT 0-1 Örebro Örebro İSÇ
29.07.2019 Helsingborgs IF Helsingborgs IF 1-4 HT 1-3 Örebro Örebro İSÇ

Örebro 2-1 Helsingborgs IF — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Örebro
2-1
AWAY Helsingborgs IF
58% Ball Possession 42%
15 Total Shots 6
3 Shots on Target 4
10 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Örebro vs Helsingborgs IF
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Örebro squeezed past Helsingborgs IF 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (39% / 30% / 31%) promised a tight game; Örebro found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Örebro had 58% of the ball to Helsingborgs IF's 42%, shots finished 15-6.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Örebro and 1.67 for Helsingborgs IF.

What was the final score of Örebro vs Helsingborgs IF?

Örebro 2-1 Helsingborgs IF in the Sweden - Superettan on 03/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Örebro vs Helsingborgs IF?

Before kick-off our model rated a Örebro win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Örebro 39%, draw 30%, Helsingborgs IF 31%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Örebro) — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Örebro)
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