IK Brage 1-2 IK Oddevold — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - Superettan, 3 Nov 2024

📅03/11/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.27
Draw
25%
3.28
Away
35%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.91
Over 2.5
48%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.66
No
48%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
26%
3.48
2-3 Goals
45%
1.8
4-5 Goals
20%
3.43
6+ Goals
9%
12.95
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.48 — our 26% vs market 23.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
3.4
1/2
6%
30.0
1/X
7%
12.65
X/1
15%
5.31
X/2
12%
5.99
X/X
12%
4.62
2/1
6%
27.0
2/2
17%
4.03
2/X
6%
12.8
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
40%
+0.1pp
25%
Draw
27%
-1.9pp
35%
Away Win
33%
+1.8pp
52%
Under 2.5
48%
+3.5pp
48%
Over 2.5
52%
-3.5pp
52%
BTTS Yes
56%
-4.6pp
48%
BTTS No
44%
+4.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME IK Brage EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY IK Oddevold EU Bookmakers 37%
+1% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -33% / -33%
1.59/1.19 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.81/2.02
+10% / +1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -36% / -31%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
281 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 405 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME IK Brage
0W-1D-0L
AWAY IK Oddevold
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
60% Ball Possession 40%
9 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 3
18.05.2024 IK Oddevold IK Oddevold 1-1 HT 0-0 IK Brage IK Brage İSÇ2
POST-MATCH IK Brage vs IK Oddevold
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

IK Oddevold edged past IK Brage 2-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match split (40% / 25% / 35%) promised a tight game; IK Oddevold found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

What was the final score of IK Brage vs IK Oddevold?

IK Brage 1-2 IK Oddevold in the Sweden - Superettan on 03/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for IK Brage vs IK Oddevold?

Before kick-off our model rated a IK Brage win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split IK Brage 40%, draw 25%, IK Oddevold 35%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (IK Brage), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (IK Brage) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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