Halmstad 1-0 Djurgarden — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - Allsvenskan, 3 Nov 2024

📅03/11/2024 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
3.69
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
47%
1.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.8
Over 2.5
47%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.82
No
55%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
33%
3.08
2-3 Goals
42%
1.78
4-5 Goals
17%
3.8
6+ Goals
8%
16.45
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.08 — our 33% vs market 26.8%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
6.29
1/2
7%
25.5
1/X
6%
14.4
X/1
8%
8.09
X/2
15%
4.23
X/X
13%
4.51
2/1
6%
34.5
2/2
25%
2.53
2/X
7%
13.75
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
24%
+2.4pp
27%
Draw
26%
+0.2pp
47%
Away Win
50%
-2.6pp
53%
Under 2.5
52%
+0.9pp
47%
Over 2.5
48%
-0.9pp
45%
BTTS Yes
51%
-6.3pp
55%
BTTS No
49%
+6.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Halmstad EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Djurgarden EU Bookmakers 54%
+13% / +18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / -8%
1.11/1.15 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.32/1.24
+14% / +65% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +13% / +42%
40% Ball Possession 60%
10 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 7
221 · 69% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 505 · 84%
17.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.6
16.9 Crosses 20.1
1.9 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Halmstad
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Djurgarden
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
0.77 xG 1.62
37% Ball Possession 63%
8 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 7
263 Passes 516
75% Pass Accuracy 85%
14 Box Touches 31
14 Crosses 31
1 Yellow Cards 1
20.05.2024 Djurgarden Djurgarden 2-0 HT 2-0 Halmstad Halmstad İSÇ
30.09.2023 Djurgarden Djurgarden 1-0 HT 0-0 Halmstad Halmstad İSÇ
16.04.2023 Halmstad Halmstad 2-0 HT 1-0 Djurgarden Djurgarden İSÇ
05.03.2022 Djurgarden Djurgarden 1-1 HT 0-0 Halmstad Halmstad İSÇK
06.11.2021 Djurgarden Djurgarden 1-0 HT 0-0 Halmstad Halmstad İSÇ
12.07.2021 Halmstad Halmstad 0-0 HT 0-0 Djurgarden Djurgarden İSÇ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Halmstad
1-0
AWAY Djurgarden
1.13 xG 0.68
42% Ball Possession 58%
9 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 3
242 Passes 372
69% Pass Accuracy 77%
20 Box Touches 16
20 Crosses 24
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Halmstad vs Djurgarden
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Halmstad nicked a narrow win over Djurgarden 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Djurgarden at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — no to both teams scoring (55%) came in.

On the day, Halmstad had 42% of the ball to Djurgarden's 58%, shots finished 9-7, expected goals 1.13 to 0.68.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Djurgarden led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Halmstad and 0.83 for Djurgarden.

What was the final score of Halmstad vs Djurgarden?

Halmstad 1-0 Djurgarden in the Sweden - Allsvenskan on 03/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Halmstad vs Djurgarden?

Before kick-off our model rated an Djurgarden win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Halmstad 26%, draw 27%, Djurgarden 47%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Djurgarden) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Djurgarden) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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