IK Sirius 1-1 Mjallby — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - Allsvenskan, 3 Nov 2024

IK Sirius
1-1 HT 1-1
Mjallby
📅03/11/2024 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
Sweden - Allsvenskan – 2024

IK Sirius vs Mjallby Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.57
Draw
25%
3.45
Away
40%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.15
Over 2.5
57%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
62%
1.55
No
38%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
4.24
2-3 Goals
44%
1.87
4-5 Goals
24%
3.0
6+ Goals
13%
9.22
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
3.91
1/2
6%
24.45
1/X
6%
12.9
X/1
11%
6.11
X/2
11%
5.32
X/X
13%
5.27
2/1 EV+ ✗
7%
27.5
2/2
23%
3.22
2/X
6%
12.8
Value flag · 2/1 at 27.5 — our 7% vs market 1.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
35%
-0.6pp
25%
Draw
26%
-0.3pp
40%
Away Win
39%
+0.9pp
43%
Under 2.5
43%
-0.3pp
57%
Over 2.5
57%
+0.3pp
62%
BTTS Yes
60%
+1.8pp
38%
BTTS No
40%
-1.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

IK Sirius v Mjallby — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME IK Sirius EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Mjallby EU Bookmakers 43%
-11% / -26% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +10%
1.69/1.35 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.33/1.16
+7% / -17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +11% / +23%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 7
386 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 303 · 80%
22.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.2
21.9 Crosses 16.4
1.8 Yellow Cards 1.8

IK Sirius vs Mjallby Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME IK Sirius
0W-0D-6L
AWAY Mjallby
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.67
1.00 xG 1.43
56% Ball Possession 44%
12 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 5
440 Passes 313
84% Pass Accuracy 80%
19 Box Touches 24
18 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
06.07.2024 Mjallby Mjallby 3-2 HT 0-0 IK Sirius IK Sirius İSÇ
24.07.2023 IK Sirius IK Sirius 2-3 HT 1-2 Mjallby Mjallby İSÇ
14.05.2023 Mjallby Mjallby 3-0 HT 3-0 IK Sirius IK Sirius İSÇ
04.03.2023 Mjallby Mjallby 3-2 HT 0-1 IK Sirius IK Sirius İSÇK
31.07.2022 IK Sirius IK Sirius 0-1 HT 0-0 Mjallby Mjallby İSÇ
20.04.2022 Mjallby Mjallby 3-0 HT 1-0 IK Sirius IK Sirius İSÇ

IK Sirius 1-1 Mjallby — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME IK Sirius
1-1
AWAY Mjallby
1.51 xG 1.70
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 15
2 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 8
388 Passes 327
86% Pass Accuracy 80%
22 Box Touches 27
21 Crosses 16
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH IK Sirius vs Mjallby
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

IK Sirius and Mjallby couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

Our pre-match split (35% / 25% / 40%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. On goals, both teams to score (62%) landed while over 2.5 goals (57%) missed.

On the day, IK Sirius had 53% of the ball to Mjallby's 47%, shots finished 14-15, expected goals 1.51 to 1.70.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Mjallby led the recent series with 6 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for IK Sirius and 2.67 for Mjallby.

What was the final score of IK Sirius vs Mjallby?

IK Sirius 1-1 Mjallby in the Sweden - Allsvenskan on 03/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for IK Sirius vs Mjallby?

Before kick-off our model rated an Mjallby win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split IK Sirius 35%, draw 25%, Mjallby 40%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Mjallby), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Mjallby) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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