Brommapojkarna 0-1 IFK Varnamo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - Allsvenskan, 3 Nov 2024

📅03/11/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.8
Draw
23%
3.45
Away
40%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.0
Over 2.5
54%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.63
No
46%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
3.77
2-3 Goals
47%
1.82
4-5 Goals
21%
3.23
6+ Goals
8%
11.2
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
4.33
1/2
6%
24.85
1/X
5%
13.25
X/1
14%
6.38
X/2
15%
4.97
X/X
9%
4.99
2/1 EV+ ✗
6%
30.5
2/2
19%
3.06
2/X
9%
13.05
Value flag · 2/1 at 30.5 — our 6% vs market 1.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
32%
+4.6pp
23%
Draw
26%
-2.8pp
41%
Away Win
42%
-1.8pp
46%
Under 2.5
46%
+0.0pp
54%
Over 2.5
54%
+0.0pp
54%
BTTS Yes
57%
-3.6pp
46%
BTTS No
43%
+3.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Brommapojkarna EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY IFK Varnamo EU Bookmakers 46%
-8% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +14% / +14%
1.46/1.59 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.35/0.85
-13% / -31% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +17% / +60%
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
327 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 378 · 79%
25.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.6
25.1 Crosses 18.4
1.5 Yellow Cards 0.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Brommapojkarna
3W-1D-2L
AWAY IFK Varnamo
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.47 xG 1.10
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
302 Passes 319
73% Pass Accuracy 76%
23 Box Touches 16
25 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
12.05.2024 IFK Varnamo IFK Varnamo 1-1 HT 1-0 Brommapojkarna Brommapojkarna İSÇ
05.08.2023 Brommapojkarna Brommapojkarna 0-2 HT 0-1 IFK Varnamo IFK Varnamo İSÇ
04.05.2023 IFK Varnamo IFK Varnamo 0-1 HT 0-0 Brommapojkarna Brommapojkarna İSÇ
20.08.2017 Brommapojkarna Brommapojkarna 2-1 HT 1-1 IFK Varnamo IFK Varnamo İSÇ2
18.04.2017 IFK Varnamo IFK Varnamo 0-1 HT 0-0 Brommapojkarna Brommapojkarna İSÇ2
21.09.2015 IFK Varnamo IFK Varnamo 2-1 HT 1-1 Brommapojkarna Brommapojkarna İSÇ2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Brommapojkarna
0-1
AWAY IFK Varnamo
0.24 xG 1.24
56% Ball Possession 44%
5 Total Shots 23
0 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 8
514 Passes 384
86% Pass Accuracy 83%
14 Box Touches 33
23 Crosses 25
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Brommapojkarna vs IFK Varnamo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

IFK Varnamo nicked a narrow win over Brommapojkarna 1-0 away from home.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 23% / 41% — and on the day IFK Varnamo made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Brommapojkarna had 56% of the ball to IFK Varnamo's 44%, shots finished 5-23, expected goals 0.24 to 1.24.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Brommapojkarna had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Brommapojkarna and 1.00 for IFK Varnamo.

What was the final score of Brommapojkarna vs IFK Varnamo?

Brommapojkarna 0-1 IFK Varnamo in the Sweden - Allsvenskan on 03/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Brommapojkarna vs IFK Varnamo?

Before kick-off our model rated an IFK Varnamo win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Brommapojkarna 37%, draw 23%, IFK Varnamo 41%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (IFK Varnamo) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (IFK Varnamo) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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