Barcelona 3-1 Espanyol — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - Primera Liga, 3 Nov 2024

Barcelona
3-1 HT 3-0
Espanyol
📅03/11/2024 · 🕒18:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 4-0 ✗ 2nd Score 3-0 ✗
Spain - Primera Liga – 2025/2026

Barcelona vs Espanyol Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
69%
1.18
Draw
17%
7.13
Away
14%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
37%
3.59
Over 2.5
63%
1.26
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.82
No
53%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
9.09
2-3 Goals
33%
2.44
4-5 Goals
32%
2.34
6+ Goals
16%
3.75
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
33%
1.25
1/2
4%
34.5
1/X
5%
31.0
X/1
25%
3.69
X/2
5%
34.0
X/X
7%
13.05
2/1
11%
20.45
2/2
5%
23.15
2/X
5%
28.5
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
69%
Home Win
81%
-11.9pp
17%
Draw
12%
+5.0pp
14%
Away Win
7%
+6.9pp
37%
Under 2.5
24%
+12.7pp
63%
Over 2.5
76%
-12.7pp
47%
BTTS Yes
51%
-4.0pp
53%
BTTS No
49%
+4.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Barcelona v Espanyol — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Barcelona EU Bookmakers 85%
Head to Head
AWAY Espanyol EU Bookmakers 9%
-4% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +8%
2.30/0.95 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.70/2.27
+4% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -13% / +2%
62% Ball Possession 38%
16 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
494 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 264 · 72%
37.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.0
19.5 Crosses 13.0
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.9

Barcelona vs Espanyol Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Barcelona
3W-3D-0L
AWAY Espanyol
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.93 xG 1.23
70% Ball Possession 30%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
612 Passes 216
90% Pass Accuracy 75%
33 Box Touches 16
20 Crosses 13
3 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
14.05.2023 Espanyol Espanyol 2-4 HT 0-3 Barcelona Barcelona İS1
31.12.2022 Barcelona Barcelona 1-1 HT 1-0 Espanyol Espanyol İS1
13.02.2022 Espanyol Espanyol 2-2 HT 1-1 Barcelona Barcelona İS1
20.11.2021 Barcelona Barcelona 1-0 HT 0-0 Espanyol Espanyol İS1
08.07.2020 Barcelona Barcelona 1-0 HT 0-0 Espanyol Espanyol İS1
04.01.2020 Espanyol Espanyol 2-2 HT 1-0 Barcelona Barcelona İS1

Barcelona 3-1 Espanyol — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Barcelona
3-1
AWAY Espanyol
1.83 xG 0.86
77% Ball Possession 23%
14 Total Shots 10
9 Shots on Target 3
9 Corners 5
696 Passes 140
92% Pass Accuracy 67%
34 Box Touches 20
17 Crosses 14
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Barcelona vs Espanyol
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Barcelona got the better of Espanyol 3-1. Half-time: 3-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Barcelona as the likeliest winner at 69%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (63%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Barcelona had 77% of the ball to Espanyol's 23%, shots finished 14-10, expected goals 1.83 to 0.86.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Barcelona had the better of it with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Barcelona and 1.17 for Espanyol.

What was the final score of Barcelona vs Espanyol?

Barcelona 3-1 Espanyol in the Spain - Primera Liga on 03/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Barcelona vs Espanyol?

Before kick-off our model rated a Barcelona win the most likely single outcome at about 69%, with the full match-result split Barcelona 69%, draw 17%, Espanyol 14%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Barcelona), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Barcelona) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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