Athletic Bilbao 1-1 Real Betis — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - Primera Liga, 3 Nov 2024

Athletic Bilbao
1-1 HT 0-0
Real Betis
📅03/11/2024 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✓ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Spain - Primera Liga – 2024/2025

Athletic Bilbao vs Real Betis Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
1.86
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
31%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.75
Over 2.5
49%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.88
No
49%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2.97
2-3 Goals
40%
1.77
4-5 Goals
23%
3.93
6+ Goals
11%
17.75
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
2.5
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
8%
14.3
X/1
14%
4.11
X/2
12%
8.07
X/X
15%
4.54
2/1
8%
25.5
2/2
12%
6.42
2/X
5%
15.0
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
50%
-8.1pp
28%
Draw
26%
+1.0pp
31%
Away Win
24%
+7.0pp
51%
Under 2.5
53%
-2.0pp
49%
Over 2.5
47%
+2.0pp
51%
BTTS Yes
49%
+2.1pp
49%
BTTS No
51%
-2.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Athletic Bilbao v Real Betis — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Athletic Bilbao EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Real Betis EU Bookmakers 27%
+2% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +7%
1.51/0.97 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.04/1.35
+4% / +2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / +2%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
358 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 333 · 78%
22.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.2
20.2 Crosses 14.9
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.5

Athletic Bilbao vs Real Betis Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Athletic Bilbao
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Real Betis
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.16 xG 1.02
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
329 Passes 371
78% Pass Accuracy 80%
22 Box Touches 17
24 Crosses 12
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
25.02.2024 Real Betis Real Betis 3-1 HT 2-1 Athletic Bilbao Athletic Bilbao İS1
27.08.2023 Athletic Bilbao Athletic Bilbao 4-2 HT 3-2 Real Betis Real Betis İS1
04.05.2023 Athletic Bilbao Athletic Bilbao 0-1 HT 0-1 Real Betis Real Betis İS1
29.12.2022 Real Betis Real Betis 0-0 HT 0-0 Athletic Bilbao Athletic Bilbao İS1
13.03.2022 Real Betis Real Betis 1-0 HT 1-0 Athletic Bilbao Athletic Bilbao İS1
19.12.2021 Athletic Bilbao Athletic Bilbao 3-2 HT 1-1 Real Betis Real Betis İS1

Athletic Bilbao 1-1 Real Betis — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Athletic Bilbao
1-1
AWAY Real Betis
4.01 xG 0.92
49% Ball Possession 51%
17 Total Shots 7
8 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 2
403 Passes 411
85% Pass Accuracy 83%
31 Box Touches 11
22 Crosses 12
POST-MATCH Athletic Bilbao vs Real Betis
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Athletic Bilbao and Real Betis couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Athletic Bilbao at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Athletic Bilbao had 49% of the ball to Real Betis's 51%, shots finished 17-7, expected goals 4.01 to 0.92.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Real Betis led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Athletic Bilbao and 1.50 for Real Betis.

What was the final score of Athletic Bilbao vs Real Betis?

Athletic Bilbao 1-1 Real Betis in the Spain - Primera Liga on 03/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Athletic Bilbao vs Real Betis?

Before kick-off our model rated a Athletic Bilbao win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Athletic Bilbao 42%, draw 28%, Real Betis 31%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Athletic Bilbao) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Athletic Bilbao) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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