Atletico Madrid 2-0 Las Palmas — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - Primera Liga, 3 Nov 2024

Atletico Madrid
2-0 HT 1-0
Las Palmas
📅03/11/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 ✓ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Spain - Primera Liga – 2024/2025

Atletico Madrid vs Las Palmas Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
57%
1.37
Draw
24%
4.49
Away
19%
6.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
2.15
Over 2.5
47%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.95
No
57%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
26%
4.18
2-3 Goals
41%
1.86
4-5 Goals
22%
3.04
6+ Goals
11%
9.48
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.18 — our 26% vs market 19.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
33%
1.63
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
8%
20.15
X/1
16%
3.48
X/2
9%
16.05
X/X
10%
6.83
2/1
8%
22.7
2/2
6%
12.8
2/X
5%
20.8
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
57%
Home Win
69%
-11.6pp
24%
Draw
19%
+4.5pp
19%
Away Win
12%
+7.1pp
53%
Under 2.5
43%
+9.8pp
47%
Over 2.5
57%
-9.8pp
43%
BTTS Yes
47%
-4.3pp
57%
BTTS No
53%
+4.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Atletico Madrid v Las Palmas — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Atletico Madrid EU Bookmakers 73%
Head to Head
AWAY Las Palmas EU Bookmakers 15%
+2% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -3%
1.94/0.79 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.73/1.82
+1% / +12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -24% / +16%
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
344 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 374 · 80%
30.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.3
18.3 Crosses 12.1
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.6

Atletico Madrid vs Las Palmas Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Atletico Madrid
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Las Palmas
3.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.98 xG 0.75
42% Ball Possession 58%
11 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 4
340 Passes 485
80% Pass Accuracy 86%
20 Box Touches 14
10 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
17.02.2024 Atletico Madrid Atletico Madrid 5-0 HT 2-0 Las Palmas Las Palmas İS1
03.11.2023 Las Palmas Las Palmas 2-1 HT 0-0 Atletico Madrid Atletico Madrid İS1
28.01.2018 Atletico Madrid Atletico Madrid 3-0 HT 0-0 Las Palmas Las Palmas İS1
26.08.2017 Las Palmas Las Palmas 1-5 HT 0-2 Atletico Madrid Atletico Madrid İS1
29.04.2017 Las Palmas Las Palmas 0-5 HT 0-3 Atletico Madrid Atletico Madrid İS1
10.01.2017 Atletico Madrid Atletico Madrid 2-3 HT 0-0 Las Palmas Las Palmas İSPK

Atletico Madrid 2-0 Las Palmas — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Atletico Madrid
2-0
AWAY Las Palmas
1.63 xG 0.04
57% Ball Possession 43%
15 Total Shots 1
3 Shots on Target 1
9 Corners 1
455 Passes 314
84% Pass Accuracy 77%
35 Box Touches 3
23 Crosses 8
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Atletico Madrid vs Las Palmas
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Atletico Madrid saw off Las Palmas 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Atletico Madrid as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged no to both teams scoring (57%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Atletico Madrid had 57% of the ball to Las Palmas's 43%, shots finished 15-1, expected goals 1.63 to 0.04.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Atletico Madrid had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 3.50 goals for Atletico Madrid and 1.00 for Las Palmas.

What was the final score of Atletico Madrid vs Las Palmas?

Atletico Madrid 2-0 Las Palmas in the Spain - Primera Liga on 03/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Atletico Madrid vs Las Palmas?

Before kick-off our model rated a Atletico Madrid win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Atletico Madrid 57%, draw 24%, Las Palmas 19%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Atletico Madrid), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Atletico Madrid) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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