Atletico Madrid 5-0 Las Palmas — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - Primera Liga, 17 Feb 2024

Atletico Madrid
5-0 HT 2-0
Las Palmas
📅17/02/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 2-0 ✗
Spain - Primera Liga – 2023/2024

Atletico Madrid vs Las Palmas Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.49
Draw
25%
3.94
Away
23%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.82
Over 2.5
44%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.06
No
57%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
32%
3.09
2-3 Goals
39%
1.75
4-5 Goals
20%
3.7
6+ Goals
9%
15.7
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.09 — our 32% vs market 26.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1.83
1/2
5%
34.0
1/X
8%
18.25
X/1
22%
3.42
X/2
8%
12.7
X/X
10%
5.32
2/1
9%
25.0
2/2
11%
11.0
2/X
6%
19.3
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
63%
-10.8pp
25%
Draw
22%
+2.6pp
23%
Away Win
15%
+8.2pp
56%
Under 2.5
51%
+4.4pp
44%
Over 2.5
49%
-4.4pp
43%
BTTS Yes
44%
-1.0pp
57%
BTTS No
56%
+1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Atletico Madrid v Las Palmas — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Atletico Madrid EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Las Palmas EU Bookmakers 18%
+4% / +15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +13%
1.70/0.84 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.75/1.49
+9% / +23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -16% / +42%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
392 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 356 · 79%
28.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.9
17.9 Crosses 13.0
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.8

Atletico Madrid vs Las Palmas Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Atletico Madrid
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Las Palmas
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.49 xG 0.76
43% Ball Possession 57%
11 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 4
348 Passes 493
80% Pass Accuracy 86%
20 Box Touches 16
11 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
03.11.2023 Las Palmas Las Palmas 2-1 HT 0-0 Atletico Madrid Atletico Madrid İS1
28.01.2018 Atletico Madrid Atletico Madrid 3-0 HT 0-0 Las Palmas Las Palmas İS1
26.08.2017 Las Palmas Las Palmas 1-5 HT 0-2 Atletico Madrid Atletico Madrid İS1
29.04.2017 Las Palmas Las Palmas 0-5 HT 0-3 Atletico Madrid Atletico Madrid İS1
10.01.2017 Atletico Madrid Atletico Madrid 2-3 HT 0-0 Las Palmas Las Palmas İSPK
03.01.2017 Las Palmas Las Palmas 0-2 HT 0-1 Atletico Madrid Atletico Madrid İSPK

Atletico Madrid 5-0 Las Palmas — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Atletico Madrid
5-0
AWAY Las Palmas
3.47 xG 0.72
35% Ball Possession 65%
13 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 5
245 Passes 531
74% Pass Accuracy 86%
21 Box Touches 9
8 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Atletico Madrid vs Las Palmas
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Atletico Madrid ran out comfortable winners over Las Palmas 5-0. Half-time: 2-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Atletico Madrid as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 5-0 landed on that lead. On goals, no to both teams scoring (57%) landed while under 2.5 goals (56%) missed.

On the day, Atletico Madrid had 35% of the ball to Las Palmas's 65%, shots finished 13-11, expected goals 3.47 to 0.72.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Atletico Madrid had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 3.00 goals for Atletico Madrid and 1.00 for Las Palmas.

What was the final score of Atletico Madrid vs Las Palmas?

Atletico Madrid 5-0 Las Palmas in the Spain - Primera Liga on 17/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Atletico Madrid vs Las Palmas?

Before kick-off our model rated a Atletico Madrid win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Atletico Madrid 52%, draw 25%, Las Palmas 23%. The final score 5-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Atletico Madrid), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Atletico Madrid) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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