Osasuna 2-0 Cadiz — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - Primera Liga, 17 Feb 2024

📅17/02/2024 · 🕒18:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.76
Draw
28%
3.18
Away
24%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.51
Over 2.5
41%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.27
No
58%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2.2
2-3 Goals
43%
1.78
4-5 Goals
18%
5.5
6+ Goals
8%
34.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
2.41
1/2
6%
34.0
1/X
7%
16.05
X/1
20%
3.7
X/2
8%
8.9
X/X
15%
3.75
2/1
7%
31.5
2/2
11%
8.12
2/X
6%
17.1
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
53%
-4.7pp
28%
Draw
28%
-0.5pp
24%
Away Win
19%
+5.2pp
59%
Under 2.5
62%
-3.8pp
41%
Over 2.5
38%
+3.8pp
42%
BTTS Yes
40%
+2.2pp
58%
BTTS No
60%
-2.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Osasuna EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Cadiz EU Bookmakers 22%
+3% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / -6%
1.71/0.71 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.83/1.60
-3% / +16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -32% / +26%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
328 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 254 · 72%
28.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.5
24.0 Crosses 17.8
2.0 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Osasuna
5W-1D-0L
AWAY Cadiz
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
2.07 xG 1.16
59% Ball Possession 41%
13 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
366 Passes 222
78% Pass Accuracy 68%
24 Box Touches 15
23 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 2
10.12.2023 Cadiz Cadiz 1-1 HT 1-0 Osasuna Osasuna İS1
25.04.2023 Cadiz Cadiz 0-1 HT 0-0 Osasuna Osasuna İS1
20.08.2022 Osasuna Osasuna 2-0 HT 1-0 Cadiz Cadiz İS1
09.01.2022 Osasuna Osasuna 2-0 HT 1-0 Cadiz Cadiz İS1
29.08.2021 Cadiz Cadiz 2-3 HT 1-0 Osasuna Osasuna İS1
11.05.2021 Osasuna Osasuna 3-2 HT 1-0 Cadiz Cadiz İS1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Osasuna
2-0
AWAY Cadiz
1.96 xG 0.53
56% Ball Possession 44%
11 Total Shots 5
4 Shots on Target 1
5 Corners 4
380 Passes 280
76% Pass Accuracy 70%
17 Box Touches 9
24 Crosses 17
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Osasuna vs Cadiz
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Osasuna beat Cadiz 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Osasuna as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (58%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Osasuna had 56% of the ball to Cadiz's 44%, shots finished 11-5, expected goals 1.96 to 0.53.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Osasuna had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Osasuna and 0.83 for Cadiz.

What was the final score of Osasuna vs Cadiz?

Osasuna 2-0 Cadiz in the Spain - Primera Liga on 17/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Osasuna vs Cadiz?

Before kick-off our model rated a Osasuna win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Osasuna 48%, draw 28%, Cadiz 24%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Osasuna), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Osasuna) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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