Real Oviedo vs Burgos Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Real Oviedo v Burgos — Team-Based Signals
Real Oviedo vs Burgos Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-0
HT 1-0
Real Oviedo
İS2
0-1
HT 0-0
Burgos
İS2
0-0
HT 0-0
Real Oviedo
İS2
0-1
HT 0-0
Burgos
HAZ
0-1
HT 0-0
Real Oviedo
İS2
Real Oviedo 3-1 Burgos — Actual Match Statistics
Real Oviedo saw off Burgos 3-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Real Oviedo as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Real Oviedo had 47% of the ball to Burgos's 53%, shots finished 18-10, expected goals 1.53 to 0.67.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Burgos led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Real Oviedo and 0.50 for Burgos.
What was the final score of Real Oviedo vs Burgos?
Real Oviedo 3-1 Burgos in the Spain - 2nd Division on 03/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Real Oviedo vs Burgos?
Before kick-off our model rated a Real Oviedo win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Real Oviedo 47%, draw 29%, Burgos 24%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Real Oviedo) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.