Real Oviedo 5-0 Burgos — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division, 17 Feb 2024

Real Oviedo
5-0 HT 3-0
Burgos
📅17/02/2024 · 🕒18:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Spain - 2nd Division – 2023/2024

Real Oviedo vs Burgos Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.89
Draw
29%
3.18
Away
24%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.56
Over 2.5
37%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
2.09
No
61%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2.34
2-3 Goals
41%
1.76
4-5 Goals
16%
5.04
6+ Goals
8%
30.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
2.59
1/2
5%
34.0
1/X
7%
15.15
X/1
19%
3.91
X/2
8%
7.79
X/X
13%
3.86
2/1
7%
29.5
2/2
10%
6.77
2/X
10%
15.9
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
49%
-2.0pp
29%
Draw
28%
+1.3pp
24%
Away Win
23%
+0.7pp
63%
Under 2.5
60%
+2.5pp
37%
Over 2.5
40%
-2.5pp
39%
BTTS Yes
44%
-5.0pp
61%
BTTS No
56%
+5.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Real Oviedo v Burgos — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Real Oviedo EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Burgos EU Bookmakers 26%
-1% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -13%
1.32/0.81 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.92/1.18
-9% / +1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -17% / +1%
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
374 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 263 · 72%
21.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.1
23.4 Crosses 16.0
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.1

Real Oviedo vs Burgos Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Real Oviedo
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Burgos
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.97 xG 1.10
50% Ball Possession 50%
9 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
265 Passes 291
72% Pass Accuracy 73%
17 Box Touches 19
21 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
26.08.2023 Burgos Burgos 1-0 HT 1-0 Real Oviedo Real Oviedo İS2
12.02.2023 Real Oviedo Real Oviedo 0-1 HT 0-0 Burgos Burgos İS2
10.09.2022 Burgos Burgos 0-0 HT 0-0 Real Oviedo Real Oviedo İS2
27.07.2022 Real Oviedo Real Oviedo 0-1 HT 0-0 Burgos Burgos HAZ
20.02.2022 Burgos Burgos 0-1 HT 0-0 Real Oviedo Real Oviedo İS2
21.10.2021 Real Oviedo Real Oviedo 1-3 HT 0-1 Burgos Burgos İS2

Real Oviedo 5-0 Burgos — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Real Oviedo
5-0
AWAY Burgos
3.06 xG 0.51
56% Ball Possession 44%
19 Total Shots 15
10 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 7
387 Passes 271
82% Pass Accuracy 75%
29 Box Touches 22
22 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Real Oviedo vs Burgos
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Real Oviedo cruised past Burgos 5-0. Half-time: 3-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Real Oviedo as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 5-0 landed on that lead. On goals, no to both teams scoring (61%) landed while under 2.5 goals (63%) missed.

On the day, Real Oviedo had 56% of the ball to Burgos's 44%, shots finished 19-15, expected goals 3.06 to 0.51.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Burgos led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Real Oviedo and 1.00 for Burgos.

What was the final score of Real Oviedo vs Burgos?

Real Oviedo 5-0 Burgos in the Spain - 2nd Division on 17/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Real Oviedo vs Burgos?

Before kick-off our model rated a Real Oviedo win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Real Oviedo 47%, draw 29%, Burgos 24%. The final score 5-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Real Oviedo), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Real Oviedo) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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