Sporting Gijon 1-1 Valladolid — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division, 17 Feb 2024

Sporting Gijon
1-1 HT 0-1
Valladolid
📅17/02/2024 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Spain - 2nd Division – 2023/2024

Sporting Gijon vs Valladolid Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.46
Draw
31%
2.88
Away
28%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.51
Over 2.5
37%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.06
No
56%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2.21
2-3 Goals
40%
1.77
4-5 Goals
18%
5.46
6+ Goals
7%
34.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
3.77
1/2
7%
34.0
1/X
7%
13.85
X/1
15%
4.98
X/2
11%
5.56
X/X
15%
3.47
2/1
7%
34.0
2/2
10%
4.41
2/X
9%
14.0
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
37%
+3.8pp
31%
Draw
31%
-0.2pp
29%
Away Win
32%
-3.6pp
63%
Under 2.5
62%
+0.3pp
37%
Over 2.5
38%
-0.3pp
44%
BTTS Yes
44%
-1.0pp
56%
BTTS No
56%
+1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Sporting Gijon v Valladolid — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sporting Gijon EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Valladolid EU Bookmakers 36%
+4% / +25% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / +1%
1.18/0.99 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.13/1.08
+16% / +16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / +3%
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
334 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 313 · 77%
19.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.6
18.0 Crosses 21.7
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.8

Sporting Gijon vs Valladolid Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sporting Gijon
0W-0D-6L
AWAY Valladolid
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
0.78 xG 1.54
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
347 Passes 301
79% Pass Accuracy 77%
20 Box Touches 23
18 Crosses 17
3 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
11.08.2023 Valladolid Valladolid 2-0 HT 1-0 Sporting Gijon Sporting Gijon İS2
28.01.2022 Valladolid Valladolid 1-0 HT 0-0 Sporting Gijon Sporting Gijon İS2
23.10.2021 Sporting Gijon Sporting Gijon 1-2 HT 0-1 Valladolid Valladolid İS2
08.08.2019 Valladolid Valladolid 2-0 HT 0-0 Sporting Gijon Sporting Gijon HAZ
10.06.2018 Sporting Gijon Sporting Gijon 1-2 HT 0-2 Valladolid Valladolid İS2
07.06.2018 Valladolid Valladolid 3-1 HT 3-0 Sporting Gijon Sporting Gijon İS2

Sporting Gijon 1-1 Valladolid — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sporting Gijon
1-1
AWAY Valladolid
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 9
328 Passes 354
80% Pass Accuracy 83%
POST-MATCH Sporting Gijon vs Valladolid
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sporting Gijon and Valladolid couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Sporting Gijon at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (63%) landed while no to both teams scoring (56%) missed.

On the day, Sporting Gijon had 48% of the ball to Valladolid's 52%, shots finished 11-12.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Valladolid led the recent series with 6 wins. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Sporting Gijon and 2.00 for Valladolid.

What was the final score of Sporting Gijon vs Valladolid?

Sporting Gijon 1-1 Valladolid in the Spain - 2nd Division on 17/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sporting Gijon vs Valladolid?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sporting Gijon win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Sporting Gijon 41%, draw 31%, Valladolid 29%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Sporting Gijon), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Sporting Gijon) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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