FC Andorra 1-1 Villarreal II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division, 17 Feb 2024

📅17/02/2024 · 🕒18:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.8
Draw
25%
3.28
Away
26%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.71
Over 2.5
42%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
1.95
No
59%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
32%
2.76
2-3 Goals
39%
1.75
4-5 Goals
21%
4.13
6+ Goals
8%
20.0
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.76 — our 32% vs market 29.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
2.37
1/2
8%
34.0
1/X
7%
14.15
X/1
19%
3.98
X/2
12%
8.69
X/X
11%
4.24
2/1
6%
26.5
2/2
7%
7.15
2/X
6%
15.05
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
52%
-3.0pp
25%
Draw
27%
-2.5pp
26%
Away Win
21%
+5.5pp
58%
Under 2.5
55%
+3.8pp
42%
Over 2.5
45%
-3.8pp
41%
BTTS Yes
47%
-6.0pp
59%
BTTS No
53%
+6.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FC Andorra EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Villarreal II EU Bookmakers 24%
-12% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -14%
1.56/1.07 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.76/1.57
-14% / -20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -10% / -20%
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
432 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 258 · 73%
25.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.6
19.2 Crosses 11.7
1.4 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FC Andorra
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Villarreal II
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.30 xG 1.19
66% Ball Possession 34%
14 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 2
582 Passes 219
91% Pass Accuracy 75%
27 Box Touches 16
16 Crosses 4
2 Yellow Cards 3
19.11.2023 Villarreal II Villarreal II 0-0 HT 0-0 FC Andorra FC Andorra İS2
27.05.2023 FC Andorra FC Andorra 4-3 HT 1-2 Villarreal II Villarreal II İS2
22.10.2022 Villarreal II Villarreal II 1-0 HT 0-0 FC Andorra FC Andorra İS2
13.02.2022 FC Andorra FC Andorra 0-1 HT 0-1 Villarreal II Villarreal II İS3
23.10.2021 Villarreal II Villarreal II 2-0 HT 0-0 FC Andorra FC Andorra İS3
02.05.2021 FC Andorra FC Andorra 3-1 HT 2-0 Villarreal II Villarreal II İS3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FC Andorra
1-1
AWAY Villarreal II
0.42 xG 1.44
57% Ball Possession 43%
10 Total Shots 5
4 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 1
433 Passes 311
88% Pass Accuracy 80%
13 Box Touches 14
30 Crosses 7
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH FC Andorra vs Villarreal II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FC Andorra and Villarreal II couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was FC Andorra at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (58%) landed while no to both teams scoring (59%) missed.

On the day, FC Andorra had 57% of the ball to Villarreal II's 43%, shots finished 10-5, expected goals 0.42 to 1.44.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Villarreal II led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for FC Andorra and 1.33 for Villarreal II.

What was the final score of FC Andorra vs Villarreal II?

FC Andorra 1-1 Villarreal II in the Spain - 2nd Division on 17/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FC Andorra vs Villarreal II?

Before kick-off our model rated a FC Andorra win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split FC Andorra 49%, draw 25%, Villarreal II 26%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (FC Andorra), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (FC Andorra) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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