Tenerife 1-0 Mirandes — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division, 3 Nov 2024

📅03/11/2024 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.18
Draw
26%
2.66
Away
29%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.26
Over 2.5
39%
3.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.67
No
56%
1.41
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
38%
1.67
2-3 Goals
41%
2.0
4-5 Goals
14%
9.56
6+ Goals
7%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
3.28
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
9%
16.95
X/1
14%
4.14
X/2
15%
7.02
X/X
9%
2.82
2/1
10%
34.5
2/2
8%
6.76
2/X
8%
17.6
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
42%
+2.3pp
26%
Draw
34%
-7.9pp
29%
Away Win
24%
+5.6pp
61%
Under 2.5
76%
-14.6pp
39%
Over 2.5
24%
+14.6pp
44%
BTTS Yes
33%
+10.8pp
56%
BTTS No
67%
-10.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tenerife EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Mirandes EU Bookmakers 27%
+0% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / +6%
1.21/0.88 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.93/1.22
-23% / +28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -22% / -5%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
331 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 286 · 77%
20.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.6
19.8 Crosses 18.3
2.8 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Tenerife
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Mirandes
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.54 xG 0.98
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
304 Passes 314
77% Pass Accuracy 78%
26 Box Touches 16
20 Crosses 14
4 Yellow Cards 3
03.03.2024 Tenerife Tenerife 2-1 HT 2-0 Mirandes Mirandes İS2
14.10.2023 Mirandes Mirandes 1-1 HT 1-1 Tenerife Tenerife İS2
18.02.2023 Tenerife Tenerife 1-0 HT 0-0 Mirandes Mirandes İS2
02.11.2022 Mirandes Mirandes 1-0 HT 0-0 Tenerife Tenerife İS2
26.02.2022 Mirandes Mirandes 2-1 HT 2-1 Tenerife Tenerife İS2
19.09.2021 Tenerife Tenerife 1-2 HT 1-0 Mirandes Mirandes İS2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Tenerife
1-0
AWAY Mirandes
1.02 xG 0.55
44% Ball Possession 56%
8 Total Shots 6
2 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 6
290 Passes 367
78% Pass Accuracy 80%
16 Box Touches 21
13 Crosses 27
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Tenerife vs Mirandes
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Tenerife squeezed past Mirandes 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Tenerife as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (56%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Tenerife had 44% of the ball to Mirandes's 56%, shots finished 8-6, expected goals 1.02 to 0.55.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Mirandes led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Tenerife and 1.17 for Mirandes.

What was the final score of Tenerife vs Mirandes?

Tenerife 1-0 Mirandes in the Spain - 2nd Division on 03/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tenerife vs Mirandes?

Before kick-off our model rated a Tenerife win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Tenerife 44%, draw 26%, Mirandes 29%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Tenerife), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Tenerife) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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