Cacereno 2-2 Real Madrid III — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 3 Nov 2024

📅03/11/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.92
Draw
30%
3.18
Away
26%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
65%
1.52
Over 2.5
35%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
2.16
No
60%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
39%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
21%
X/2
13%
X/X
17%
2/1
7%
2/2
8%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
48%
-4.2pp
30%
Draw
28%
+1.6pp
26%
Away Win
24%
+2.6pp
65%
Under 2.5
62%
+3.1pp
35%
Over 2.5
38%
-3.1pp
40%
BTTS Yes
42%
-2.5pp
60%
BTTS No
58%
+2.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cacereno EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Real Madrid III EU Bookmakers 27%
-9% / -20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -15% / -15%
1.30/0.91 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.49/1.25
-7% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -49% / -3%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
235 · 66% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 284 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cacereno
2-2
AWAY Real Madrid III
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 5
3 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Cacereno vs Real Madrid III
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cacereno and Real Madrid III shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 0-2.

Our pre-match lean was Cacereno at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (65%), no to both teams scoring (60%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Cacereno had 51% of the ball to Real Madrid III's 49%, shots finished 13-5.

What was the final score of Cacereno vs Real Madrid III?

Cacereno 2-2 Real Madrid III in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 03/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cacereno vs Real Madrid III?

Before kick-off our model rated a Cacereno win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Cacereno 44%, draw 30%, Real Madrid III 26%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Cacereno) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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