UCAM Murcia 4-1 Granada II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 3 Nov 2024

📅03/11/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.53
Draw
25%
3.8
Away
25%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.64
Over 2.5
46%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.27
No
54%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
22%
X/2
10%
X/X
13%
2/1
8%
2/2
9%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
61%
-10.7pp
25%
Draw
23%
+2.1pp
25%
Away Win
16%
+8.6pp
54%
Under 2.5
57%
-3.6pp
46%
Over 2.5
43%
+3.6pp
46%
BTTS Yes
40%
+6.4pp
54%
BTTS No
60%
-6.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME UCAM Murcia EU Bookmakers 66%
Head to Head
AWAY Granada II EU Bookmakers 19%
-7% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +15%
1.65/0.71 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.85/0.89
-2% / +4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% / +64%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
452 · 86% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 237 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 3.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME UCAM Murcia
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Granada II
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 3
4 Yellow Cards 1
23.04.2023 UCAM Murcia UCAM Murcia 0-0 HT 0-0 Granada II Granada II İS4
10.12.2022 Granada II Granada II 3-0 HT 1-0 UCAM Murcia UCAM Murcia İS4
21.03.2021 Granada II Granada II 1-2 HT 1-1 UCAM Murcia UCAM Murcia İS3
09.01.2021 UCAM Murcia UCAM Murcia 2-1 HT 1-1 Granada II Granada II İS3
09.02.2020 Granada II Granada II 0-1 HT 0-0 UCAM Murcia UCAM Murcia İS3
21.09.2019 UCAM Murcia UCAM Murcia 2-1 HT 1-1 Granada II Granada II İS3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME UCAM Murcia
4-1
AWAY Granada II
45% Ball Possession 55%
18 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH UCAM Murcia vs Granada II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

UCAM Murcia ran out comfortable winners over Granada II 4-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had UCAM Murcia as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, UCAM Murcia had 45% of the ball to Granada II's 55%, shots finished 18-11.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, UCAM Murcia had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for UCAM Murcia and 1.00 for Granada II.

What was the final score of UCAM Murcia vs Granada II?

UCAM Murcia 4-1 Granada II in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 03/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for UCAM Murcia vs Granada II?

Before kick-off our model rated a UCAM Murcia win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split UCAM Murcia 50%, draw 25%, Granada II 25%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (UCAM Murcia) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (UCAM Murcia) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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