Melilla 1-0 Conquense — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 3 Nov 2024

📅03/11/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.19
Draw
33%
2.83
Away
30%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
66%
1.38
Over 2.5
34%
2.89
Both Teams to Score
Yes
38%
2.33
No
62%
1.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
40%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
14%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
8%
1/X
9%
X/1
15%
X/2
13%
X/X
19%
2/1
6%
2/2
9%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
42%
-4.2pp
33%
Draw
32%
+1.0pp
30%
Away Win
26%
+3.2pp
66%
Under 2.5
69%
-2.7pp
34%
Over 2.5
31%
+2.7pp
38%
BTTS Yes
39%
-1.2pp
62%
BTTS No
61%
+1.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Melilla EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Conquense EU Bookmakers 30%
+8% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +11%
1.01/0.50 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.01/0.49
-17% / +93% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +6% / +144%
50% Ball Possession 50%
9 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
307 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 307 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.0
POST-MATCH Melilla vs Conquense
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Melilla nicked a narrow win over Conquense 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 33% / 30% — and on the day Melilla made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (66%), no to both teams scoring (62%) came in.

What was the final score of Melilla vs Conquense?

Melilla 1-0 Conquense in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 03/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Melilla vs Conquense?

Before kick-off our model rated a Melilla win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Melilla 38%, draw 33%, Conquense 30%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Melilla), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Melilla) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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