Estepona 1-1 Linares Deportivo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 3 Nov 2024

📅03/11/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.38
Draw
28%
2.88
Away
31%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.45
Over 2.5
38%
2.61
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.16
No
58%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
16%
X/2
16%
X/X
13%
2/1
10%
2/2
9%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
39%
+2.2pp
28%
Draw
32%
-3.4pp
31%
Away Win
30%
+1.2pp
62%
Under 2.5
65%
-3.2pp
38%
Over 2.5
35%
+3.2pp
42%
BTTS Yes
42%
+0.1pp
58%
BTTS No
58%
-0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Estepona EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Linares Deportivo EU Bookmakers 33%
-3% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -22% / -22%
1.44/1.02 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.50/1.00
+19% / -7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -50% / +12%
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
297 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 245 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.3 Yellow Cards 4.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Estepona
1-1
AWAY Linares Deportivo
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Estepona vs Linares Deportivo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Estepona and Linares Deportivo couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Estepona at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (62%) landed while no to both teams scoring (58%) missed.

On the day, Estepona had 51% of the ball to Linares Deportivo's 49%, shots finished 11-10.

What was the final score of Estepona vs Linares Deportivo?

Estepona 1-1 Linares Deportivo in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 03/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Estepona vs Linares Deportivo?

Before kick-off our model rated a Estepona win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Estepona 41%, draw 28%, Linares Deportivo 31%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Estepona), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Estepona) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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