Mostoles 0-0 Navalcarnero — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 3 Nov 2024

📅03/11/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
2.99
Draw
32%
3.18
Away
40%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.59
Over 2.5
42%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.03
No
54%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
12%
1/X
9%
X/1
8%
X/2
14%
X/X
18%
2/1
9%
2/2
13%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
30%
-1.7pp
32%
Draw
28%
+4.5pp
40%
Away Win
42%
-2.8pp
58%
Under 2.5
59%
-0.7pp
42%
Over 2.5
41%
+0.7pp
46%
BTTS Yes
45%
+1.2pp
54%
BTTS No
55%
-1.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mostoles EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY Navalcarnero EU Bookmakers 46%
+3% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +13% / +13%
1.34/1.38 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 3.47/2.65
+26% / -26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +150% / -66%
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
257 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 335 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards 3.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mostoles
0W-0D-2L
AWAY Navalcarnero
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
44% Ball Possession 56%
12 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
4 Yellow Cards 2
17.04.2022 Navalcarnero Navalcarnero 2-1 HT 2-0 Mostoles İS4
28.11.2021 Mostoles 0-1 HT 0-0 Navalcarnero Navalcarnero İS4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Mostoles
0-0
AWAY Navalcarnero
43% Ball Possession 57%
8 Total Shots 9
1 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 2
6 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Mostoles vs Navalcarnero
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mostoles and Navalcarnero fought out a 0-0 stalemate. Neither side could find a way through.

We called this one close before kick-off — 28% / 32% / 40% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (58%) came in.

On the day, Mostoles had 43% of the ball to Navalcarnero's 57%, shots finished 8-9.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Navalcarnero led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Mostoles and 1.50 for Navalcarnero.

What was the final score of Mostoles vs Navalcarnero?

Mostoles 0-0 Navalcarnero in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 03/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mostoles vs Navalcarnero?

Before kick-off our model rated an Navalcarnero win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Mostoles 28%, draw 32%, Navalcarnero 40%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Navalcarnero) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Navalcarnero) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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