Minnesota United 1-1 Real Salt Lake — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - Major League, 3 Nov 2024

📅03/11/2024 · 🕒04:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.82
Draw
26%
3.64
Away
27%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.03
Over 2.5
48%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.66
No
49%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
25%
3.88
2-3 Goals
40%
1.84
4-5 Goals
23%
3.17
6+ Goals
12%
10.7
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.88 — our 25% vs market 20.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
2.44
1/2
8%
34.5
1/X
5%
13.8
X/1
16%
4.32
X/2
8%
8.09
X/X
15%
5.28
2/1
7%
22.3
2/2
11%
5.81
2/X
6%
14.25
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
51%
-4.6pp
26%
Draw
24%
+2.0pp
27%
Away Win
24%
+2.6pp
52%
Under 2.5
45%
+6.4pp
48%
Over 2.5
55%
-6.4pp
51%
BTTS Yes
56%
-5.4pp
49%
BTTS No
44%
+5.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Minnesota United EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY Real Salt Lake EU Bookmakers 28%
-3% / -21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +15%
1.64/1.17 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.40/1.74
-3% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +12% / -4%
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
415 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 313 · 78%
27.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.9
21.1 Crosses 17.7
1.8 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Minnesota United
0W-5D-1L
AWAY Real Salt Lake
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.22 xG 1.39
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
350 Passes 426
81% Pass Accuracy 84%
18 Box Touches 23
15 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 2
30.10.2024 Real Salt Lake Real Salt Lake 0-0 HT 0-0 Minnesota United Minnesota United ABD
03.10.2024 Real Salt Lake Real Salt Lake 0-0 HT 0-0 Minnesota United Minnesota United ABD
07.04.2024 Minnesota United Minnesota United 1-1 HT 0-1 Real Salt Lake Real Salt Lake ABD
25.06.2023 Real Salt Lake Real Salt Lake 2-2 HT 0-2 Minnesota United Minnesota United ABD
28.05.2023 Minnesota United Minnesota United 1-1 HT 1-1 Real Salt Lake Real Salt Lake ABD
01.09.2022 Real Salt Lake Real Salt Lake 3-0 HT 2-0 Minnesota United Minnesota United ABD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Minnesota United
1-1
AWAY Real Salt Lake
1.74 xG 0.80
47% Ball Possession 53%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 1
5 Corners 5
317 Passes 394
78% Pass Accuracy 84%
30 Box Touches 15
17 Crosses 15
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Minnesota United vs Real Salt Lake
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Minnesota United and Real Salt Lake shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Minnesota United at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Minnesota United had 47% of the ball to Real Salt Lake's 53%, shots finished 13-10, expected goals 1.74 to 0.80.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Real Salt Lake led the recent series with 1 wins, 5 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Minnesota United and 1.17 for Real Salt Lake.

What was the final score of Minnesota United vs Real Salt Lake?

Minnesota United 1-1 Real Salt Lake in the USA - Major League on 03/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Minnesota United vs Real Salt Lake?

Before kick-off our model rated a Minnesota United win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Minnesota United 47%, draw 26%, Real Salt Lake 27%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Minnesota United) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Minnesota United) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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