Atlanta United 2-1 Inter Miami — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - Major League, 3 Nov 2024

📅03/11/2024 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
3.08
Draw
28%
3.8
Away
39%
1.91
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
38%
2.89
Over 2.5
62%
1.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.38
No
42%
2.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
6.79
2-3 Goals
42%
2.16
4-5 Goals
26%
2.48
6+ Goals
14%
5.01
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
4.61
1/2
5%
19.7
1/X
5%
12.95
X/1
9%
7.89
X/2
16%
4.99
X/X
14%
6.54
2/1
5%
28.5
2/2
19%
2.48
2/X EV+ ✗
8%
12.8
Value flag · 2/X at 12.8 — our 8% vs market 4.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
29%
+3.7pp
28%
Draw
23%
+5.1pp
39%
Away Win
48%
-8.8pp
38%
Under 2.5
31%
+6.9pp
62%
Over 2.5
69%
-6.9pp
58%
BTTS Yes
68%
-10.8pp
42%
BTTS No
32%
+10.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Atlanta United EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Inter Miami EU Bookmakers 52%
+7% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +38% / +38%
1.13/1.02 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.42/1.20
-19% / +121% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +117% / -3%
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
335 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 383 · 82%
24.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 12.9
19.9 Crosses 9.0
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Atlanta United
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Inter Miami
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
1.87 xG 1.88
44% Ball Possession 56%
16 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
362 Passes 481
86% Pass Accuracy 86%
29 Box Touches 25
15 Crosses 10
1 Yellow Cards 2
26.10.2024 Inter Miami Inter Miami 2-1 HT 1-1 Atlanta United Atlanta United ABD
19.09.2024 Atlanta United Atlanta United 2-2 HT 0-1 Inter Miami Inter Miami ABD
30.05.2024 Inter Miami Inter Miami 1-3 HT 0-1 Atlanta United Atlanta United ABD
17.09.2023 Atlanta United Atlanta United 5-2 HT 3-1 Inter Miami Inter Miami ABD
26.07.2023 Inter Miami Inter Miami 4-0 HT 3-0 Atlanta United Atlanta United CONLK
07.05.2023 Inter Miami Inter Miami 2-1 HT 0-0 Atlanta United Atlanta United ABD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Atlanta United
2-1
AWAY Inter Miami
1.36 xG 1.48
41% Ball Possession 59%
13 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 7
365 Passes 560
84% Pass Accuracy 89%
16 Box Touches 31
22 Crosses 12
4 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Atlanta United vs Inter Miami
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Atlanta United edged past Inter Miami 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match split (33% / 28% / 39%) promised a tight game; Atlanta United found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (62%), both teams to score (58%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Atlanta United had 41% of the ball to Inter Miami's 59%, shots finished 13-11, expected goals 1.36 to 1.48.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Inter Miami led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Atlanta United and 2.17 for Inter Miami.

What was the final score of Atlanta United vs Inter Miami?

Atlanta United 2-1 Inter Miami in the USA - Major League on 03/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Atlanta United vs Inter Miami?

Before kick-off our model rated an Inter Miami win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Atlanta United 33%, draw 28%, Inter Miami 39%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Inter Miami) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Inter Miami) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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