Inter Miami 2-1 Atlanta United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - Major League, 26 Oct 2024

📅26/10/2024 · 🕒03:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.32
Draw
20%
5.15
Away
24%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
36%
3.59
Over 2.5
64%
1.26
Both Teams to Score
Yes
61%
1.5
No
39%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
15%
8.79
2-3 Goals
38%
2.41
4-5 Goals
30%
2.36
6+ Goals
17%
3.86
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1.52
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
5%
19.55
X/1
19%
3.91
X/2
7%
17.6
X/X
10%
9.78
2/1 EV+ ✗
10%
17.55
2/2
10%
11.0
2/X
4%
19.1
Value flag · 2/1 at 17.55 — our 10% vs market 3.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
71%
-14.8pp
19%
Draw
16%
+3.2pp
24%
Away Win
13%
+11.6pp
36%
Under 2.5
24%
+11.5pp
64%
Over 2.5
76%
-11.5pp
61%
BTTS Yes
62%
-1.7pp
39%
BTTS No
38%
+1.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Inter Miami EU Bookmakers 76%
Head to Head
AWAY Atlanta United EU Bookmakers 16%
-7% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +6%
1.89/1.57 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.23/1.90
+20% / -16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +9% / +5%
55% Ball Possession 45%
16 Total Shots 12
7 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
454 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 335 · 81%
29.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.0
13.3 Crosses 15.8
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Inter Miami
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Atlanta United
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
1.47 xG 2.07
52% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 17
5 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 4
432 Passes 401
85% Pass Accuracy 86%
20 Box Touches 32
10 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 1
19.09.2024 Atlanta United Atlanta United 2-2 HT 0-1 Inter Miami Inter Miami ABD
30.05.2024 Inter Miami Inter Miami 1-3 HT 0-1 Atlanta United Atlanta United ABD
17.09.2023 Atlanta United Atlanta United 5-2 HT 3-1 Inter Miami Inter Miami ABD
26.07.2023 Inter Miami Inter Miami 4-0 HT 3-0 Atlanta United Atlanta United CONLK
07.05.2023 Inter Miami Inter Miami 2-1 HT 0-0 Atlanta United Atlanta United ABD
19.06.2022 Atlanta United Atlanta United 2-0 HT 1-0 Inter Miami Inter Miami ABD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Inter Miami
2-1
AWAY Atlanta United
3.35 xG 0.95
66% Ball Possession 34%
22 Total Shots 8
12 Shots on Target 2
12 Corners 4
618 Passes 301
87% Pass Accuracy 83%
49 Box Touches 11
15 Crosses 12
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Inter Miami vs Atlanta United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Inter Miami edged past Atlanta United 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Inter Miami as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (64%), both teams to score (61%) came in.

On the day, Inter Miami had 66% of the ball to Atlanta United's 34%, shots finished 22-8, expected goals 3.35 to 0.95 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Inter Miami's control.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Atlanta United led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Inter Miami and 2.17 for Atlanta United.

What was the final score of Inter Miami vs Atlanta United?

Inter Miami 2-1 Atlanta United in the USA - Major League on 26/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Inter Miami vs Atlanta United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Inter Miami win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Inter Miami 56%, draw 19%, Atlanta United 24%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Inter Miami), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Inter Miami) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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