Mainz 05 II 0-1 Eintracht Trier — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 3 Nov 2024

📅03/11/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
2.12
Draw
26%
3.54
Away
28%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.15
Over 2.5
55%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.56
No
42%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
16%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
12%
X/2
9%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
12%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
44%
+2.9pp
26%
Draw
25%
+0.8pp
28%
Away Win
31%
-3.6pp
45%
Under 2.5
43%
+2.0pp
55%
Over 2.5
57%
-2.0pp
58%
BTTS Yes
60%
-1.6pp
42%
BTTS No
40%
+1.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mainz 05 II EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Eintracht Trier EU Bookmakers 34%
-6% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -13% / -20%
1.78/1.34 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.18/2.29
+5% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / -31%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
318 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 350 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 3.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mainz 05 II
2W-0D-1L
AWAY Eintracht Trier
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
55% Ball Possession 45%
10 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 2
11.03.2023 Mainz 05 II Mainz 05 II 2-0 HT 1-0 Eintracht Trier Eintracht Trier ALMBÖL
04.09.2022 Eintracht Trier Eintracht Trier 0-2 HT 0-0 Mainz 05 II Mainz 05 II ALMBÖL
26.04.2014 Eintracht Trier Eintracht Trier 1-0 HT 0-0 Mainz 05 II Mainz 05 II ALMBÖL
POST-MATCH Mainz 05 II vs Eintracht Trier
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Eintracht Trier nicked a narrow win over Mainz 05 II 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Mainz 05 II at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (55%), both teams to score (58%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Mainz 05 II had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Mainz 05 II and 0.33 for Eintracht Trier.

What was the final score of Mainz 05 II vs Eintracht Trier?

Mainz 05 II 0-1 Eintracht Trier in the Germany - Regional League on 03/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mainz 05 II vs Eintracht Trier?

Before kick-off our model rated a Mainz 05 II win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Mainz 05 II 46%, draw 26%, Eintracht Trier 28%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Mainz 05 II) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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