Werder Bremen II 1-1 Lübeck — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 3 Nov 2024

📅03/11/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.05
Draw
22%
3.72
Away
33%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
2.96
Over 2.5
61%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.35
No
51%
2.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
12%
X/2
9%
X/X
7%
2/1
7%
2/2
17%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
44%
+0.6pp
22%
Draw
23%
-0.9pp
33%
Away Win
33%
+0.3pp
39%
Under 2.5
30%
+8.9pp
61%
Over 2.5
70%
-8.9pp
49%
BTTS Yes
70%
-21.5pp
51%
BTTS No
30%
+21.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Werder Bremen II EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Lübeck EU Bookmakers 37%
+5% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +13%
2.59/1.26 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.72/1.14
+53% / +1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +16% / +31%
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 5
352 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 351 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Werder Bremen II
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Lübeck
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
52% Ball Possession 48%
18 Total Shots 13
8 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 4
4 Yellow Cards 1
10.05.2023 Werder Bremen II Werder Bremen II 2-1 HT 1-1 Lübeck Lübeck ALMBÖL
09.09.2022 Lübeck Lübeck 2-1 HT 0-0 Werder Bremen II Werder Bremen II ALMBÖL
07.05.2022 Werder Bremen II Werder Bremen II 0-1 HT 0-0 Lübeck Lübeck ALMBÖL
13.04.2022 Lübeck Lübeck 1-0 HT 0-0 Werder Bremen II Werder Bremen II ALMBÖL
06.10.2019 Lübeck Lübeck 2-1 HT 1-1 Werder Bremen II Werder Bremen II ALMBÖL
22.03.2015 Werder Bremen II Werder Bremen II 1-1 HT 0-0 Lübeck Lübeck ALMBÖL
POST-MATCH Werder Bremen II vs Lübeck
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Werder Bremen II and Lübeck couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Werder Bremen II at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (61%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Lübeck led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Werder Bremen II and 1.33 for Lübeck.

What was the final score of Werder Bremen II vs Lübeck?

Werder Bremen II 1-1 Lübeck in the Germany - Regional League on 03/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Werder Bremen II vs Lübeck?

Before kick-off our model rated a Werder Bremen II win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Werder Bremen II 45%, draw 22%, Lübeck 33%. The final score 1-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Werder Bremen II) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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