03/11/2024
·
15:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
3-0
2nd Score
3-1
Bochum U19 vs Arminia Bielefeld U19 Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
Over 2.5
61%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
No
51%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
16%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
44%
1/2
3%
1/X
4%
X/1
13%
X/2
9%
X/X
8%
2/1
7%
2/2
6%
2/X
6%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
64%
Home Win
79%
18%
Draw
12%
18%
Away Win
9%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Bochum U19 v Arminia Bielefeld U19 — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Bochum U19
EU Bookmakers 85%
Head to Head
AWAY
Arminia Bielefeld U19
EU Bookmakers 12%
-36% /
-36%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+8% /
+8%
4.86/1.38
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
0.31/2.57
+63%
/
-31%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
-74%
/
+9%
56%
Ball Possession
44%
17
Total Shots
10
7
Shots on Target
4
6
Corners
4
422 · 84%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
243 · 76%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
2.3
Yellow Cards
2.3
Bochum U19 vs Arminia Bielefeld U19 Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings
H2H
Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME
Bochum U19
1W-0D-0L
AWAY
Arminia Bielefeld U19
2.00
Avg Goals (FT)
0.00
55%
Ball Possession
45%
14
Total Shots
6
5
Shots on Target
3
7
Corners
2
3
Yellow Cards
1
The Meetings
POST-MATCH
Bochum U19 vs Arminia Bielefeld U19
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Bochum U19 edged past Arminia Bielefeld U19 1-0.
As we said in the preview, our model had Bochum U19 as the likeliest winner at 64%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (61%) — went the other way, though.
What was the final score of Bochum U19 vs Arminia Bielefeld U19?
Bochum U19 1-0 Arminia Bielefeld U19 in the Germany - U19 Bundesliga on 03/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Bochum U19 vs Arminia Bielefeld U19?
Before kick-off our model rated a Bochum U19 win the most likely single outcome at about 64%, with the full match-result split Bochum U19 64%, draw 18%, Arminia Bielefeld U19 18%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Bochum U19), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.
✓ Match Result (Bochum U19)
✗ Over 2.5
✓ BTTS No
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3 Nov 2024