Union Berlin U19 0-2 St. Pauli U19 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - U19 Bundesliga, 3 Nov 2024

📅03/11/2024 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.61
Draw
20%
4.08
Away
34%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
33%
3.17
Over 2.5
67%
1.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
No
41%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
14%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
32%
6+ Goals
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
9%
1/X
5%
X/1
17%
X/2
13%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
13%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
58%
-11.9pp
20%
Draw
22%
-2.0pp
34%
Away Win
20%
+14.0pp
33%
Under 2.5
28%
+4.8pp
67%
Over 2.5
72%
-4.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Union Berlin U19 EU Bookmakers 62%
Head to Head
AWAY St. Pauli U19 EU Bookmakers 23%
+14% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -4%
2.75/0.86 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.62/3.91
+22% / +60% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% / -44%
53% Ball Possession 47%
17 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
381 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 355 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Union Berlin U19
1W-1D-0L
AWAY St. Pauli U19
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
44% Ball Possession 56%
6 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 4
18.08.2024 St. Pauli U19 St. Pauli U19 1-1 HT 0-0 Union Berlin U19 Union Berlin U19 ALU19
13.04.2024 St. Pauli U19 St. Pauli U19 0-1 HT 0-1 Union Berlin U19 Union Berlin U19 ALU19
POST-MATCH Union Berlin U19 vs St. Pauli U19
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

St. Pauli U19 beat Union Berlin U19 2-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Union Berlin U19 at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (67%), both teams to score (59%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Union Berlin U19 had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Union Berlin U19 and 0.50 for St. Pauli U19.

What was the final score of Union Berlin U19 vs St. Pauli U19?

Union Berlin U19 0-2 St. Pauli U19 in the Germany - U19 Bundesliga on 03/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Union Berlin U19 vs St. Pauli U19?

Before kick-off our model rated a Union Berlin U19 win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Union Berlin U19 46%, draw 20%, St. Pauli U19 34%. The final score 0-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Union Berlin U19) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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