Fortuna Düsseldorf U19 2-0 MSV Duisburg U19 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - U19 Bundesliga, 3 Nov 2024

📅03/11/2024 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.29
Draw
25%
5.28
Away
23%
7.37
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
3.17
Over 2.5
56%
1.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
No
46%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
29%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
34%
1/2
5%
1/X
3%
X/1
8%
X/2
9%
X/X
15%
2/1
10%
2/2
9%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
73%
-21.0pp
25%
Draw
16%
+8.9pp
23%
Away Win
11%
+12.1pp
44%
Under 2.5
28%
+15.7pp
56%
Over 2.5
72%
-15.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Fortuna Düsseldorf U19 EU Bookmakers 78%
Head to Head
AWAY MSV Duisburg U19 EU Bookmakers 14%
-36% / -36% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +31% / +31%
2.09/2.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.69/1.55
-27% / -43% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +47% / +84%
59% Ball Possession 41%
16 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
426 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 300 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Fortuna Düsseldorf U19
1W-0D-0L
AWAY MSV Duisburg U19
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
67% Ball Possession 33%
24 Total Shots 8
11 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 0
18.08.2024 MSV Duisburg U19 MSV Duisburg U19 1-3 HT 1-2 Fortuna Düsseldorf U19 Fortuna Düsseldorf U19 ALU19
POST-MATCH Fortuna Düsseldorf U19 vs MSV Duisburg U19
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Fortuna Düsseldorf U19 got the better of MSV Duisburg U19 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Fortuna Düsseldorf U19 as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Fortuna Düsseldorf U19 vs MSV Duisburg U19?

Fortuna Düsseldorf U19 2-0 MSV Duisburg U19 in the Germany - U19 Bundesliga on 03/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Fortuna Düsseldorf U19 vs MSV Duisburg U19?

Before kick-off our model rated a Fortuna Düsseldorf U19 win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Fortuna Düsseldorf U19 52%, draw 25%, MSV Duisburg U19 23%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Fortuna Düsseldorf U19) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Fortuna Düsseldorf U19) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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