FSV Frankfurt U19 2-1 Mainz 05 U19 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - U19 Bundesliga, 3 Nov 2024

📅03/11/2024 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-3 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
21%
6.35
Draw
20%
5.15
Away
59%
1.33
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
2.96
Over 2.5
60%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
No
44%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
32%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
5%
1/X
4%
X/1
8%
X/2
18%
X/X
11%
2/1
4%
2/2
36%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
21%
Home Win
13%
+8.7pp
20%
Draw
16%
+3.3pp
59%
Away Win
71%
-12.0pp
40%
Under 2.5
30%
+10.4pp
60%
Over 2.5
70%
-10.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FSV Frankfurt U19 EU Bookmakers 16%
Head to Head
AWAY Mainz 05 U19 EU Bookmakers 75%
-16% / -16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -10%
0.51/3.51 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.20/1.04
-60% / -20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -23% / +16%
40% Ball Possession 60%
9 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 6
245 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 387 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FSV Frankfurt U19
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Mainz 05 U19
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
36% Ball Possession 64%
9 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 3
18.08.2024 Mainz 05 U19 Mainz 05 U19 1-2 HT 0-1 FSV Frankfurt U19 FSV Frankfurt U19 ALU19
POST-MATCH FSV Frankfurt U19 vs Mainz 05 U19
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FSV Frankfurt U19 edged past Mainz 05 U19 2-1. Half-time: 2-0.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Mainz 05 U19 at 59% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (60%), both teams to score (56%) came in.

What was the final score of FSV Frankfurt U19 vs Mainz 05 U19?

FSV Frankfurt U19 2-1 Mainz 05 U19 in the Germany - U19 Bundesliga on 03/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FSV Frankfurt U19 vs Mainz 05 U19?

Before kick-off our model rated an Mainz 05 U19 win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split FSV Frankfurt U19 21%, draw 20%, Mainz 05 U19 59%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Mainz 05 U19) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Mainz 05 U19) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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