St. Pauli U19 1-1 Union Berlin U19 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - U19 Bundesliga, 18 Aug 2024

📅18/08/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.99
Draw
25%
3.72
Away
42%
1.91
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.89
Over 2.5
58%
1.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.38
No
44%
2.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
30%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
15%
X/2
15%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
23%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
29%
+3.7pp
25%
Draw
23%
+2.0pp
42%
Away Win
48%
-5.8pp
42%
Under 2.5
31%
+10.5pp
58%
Over 2.5
69%
-10.5pp
56%
BTTS Yes
68%
-12.6pp
44%
BTTS No
32%
+12.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME St. Pauli U19 EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY Union Berlin U19 EU Bookmakers 52%
-48% / -48% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +38% / +38%
0.00/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 3.00/2.00
-100% / +94% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +47% / -12%
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 4
415 · 86% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 388 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
4.0 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME St. Pauli U19
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Union Berlin U19
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
56% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 6
5 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 5
4 Yellow Cards 2
13.04.2024 St. Pauli U19 St. Pauli U19 0-1 HT 0-1 Union Berlin U19 Union Berlin U19 ALU19
POST-MATCH St. Pauli U19 vs Union Berlin U19
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

St. Pauli U19 and Union Berlin U19 shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Union Berlin U19 at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, both teams to score (56%) landed while over 2.5 goals (58%) missed.

What was the final score of St. Pauli U19 vs Union Berlin U19?

St. Pauli U19 1-1 Union Berlin U19 in the Germany - U19 Bundesliga on 18/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for St. Pauli U19 vs Union Berlin U19?

Before kick-off our model rated an Union Berlin U19 win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split St. Pauli U19 33%, draw 25%, Union Berlin U19 42%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Union Berlin U19), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Union Berlin U19) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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