Swarovski Tirol 1-0 Rheindorf Altach — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Austria - Bundesliga, 3 Nov 2024

📅03/11/2024 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.67
Draw
29%
3.18
Away
39%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.74
Over 2.5
45%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.81
No
56%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
34%
2.88
2-3 Goals
37%
1.77
4-5 Goals
21%
4.05
6+ Goals
8%
18.9
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.88 — our 34% vs market 28.9%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
4.32
1/2
8%
29.0
1/X
9%
13.65
X/1
13%
5.88
X/2
13%
4.97
X/X
15%
4.27
2/1
6%
33.5
2/2
18%
3.41
2/X
6%
13.45
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
34%
-2.0pp
30%
Draw
28%
+1.7pp
39%
Away Win
39%
+0.3pp
55%
Under 2.5
54%
+1.6pp
45%
Over 2.5
46%
-1.6pp
44%
BTTS Yes
51%
-7.2pp
56%
BTTS No
49%
+7.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Swarovski Tirol EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Rheindorf Altach EU Bookmakers 43%
-8% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -16%
1.31/1.34 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.20/1.48
-1% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -13% / -29%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
328 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 314 · 74%
20.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.8
17.0 Crosses 16.6
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Swarovski Tirol
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Rheindorf Altach
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.21 xG 1.37
55% Ball Possession 45%
10 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 4
340 Passes 254
77% Pass Accuracy 72%
17 Box Touches 22
14 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 3
03.08.2024 Rheindorf Altach Rheindorf Altach 1-2 HT 0-1 Swarovski Tirol Swarovski Tirol AVU
11.05.2024 Swarovski Tirol Swarovski Tirol 0-1 HT 0-1 Rheindorf Altach Rheindorf Altach AVU
05.04.2024 Rheindorf Altach Rheindorf Altach 0-0 HT 0-0 Swarovski Tirol Swarovski Tirol AVU
11.11.2023 Swarovski Tirol Swarovski Tirol 5-1 HT 3-0 Rheindorf Altach Rheindorf Altach AVU
13.08.2023 Rheindorf Altach Rheindorf Altach 1-0 HT 0-0 Swarovski Tirol Swarovski Tirol AVU
02.06.2023 Swarovski Tirol Swarovski Tirol 1-1 HT 1-0 Rheindorf Altach Rheindorf Altach AVU
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Swarovski Tirol
1-0
AWAY Rheindorf Altach
0.81 xG 1.57
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 2
266 Passes 309
72% Pass Accuracy 71%
20 Box Touches 17
17 Crosses 15
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Swarovski Tirol vs Rheindorf Altach
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Swarovski Tirol edged past Rheindorf Altach 1-0.

Our pre-match split (32% / 30% / 39%) promised a tight game; Swarovski Tirol found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (55%), no to both teams scoring (56%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Swarovski Tirol had 46% of the ball to Rheindorf Altach's 54%, shots finished 12-11, expected goals 0.81 to 1.57 — on chances, Rheindorf Altach could feel hard done by.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Swarovski Tirol and 0.83 for Rheindorf Altach.

What was the final score of Swarovski Tirol vs Rheindorf Altach?

Swarovski Tirol 1-0 Rheindorf Altach in the Austria - Bundesliga on 03/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Swarovski Tirol vs Rheindorf Altach?

Before kick-off our model rated an Rheindorf Altach win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Swarovski Tirol 32%, draw 30%, Rheindorf Altach 39%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Rheindorf Altach) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Rheindorf Altach) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
AVU More Austria - Bundesliga
3 Nov 2024
16:30 Austria Klagenfurt vs Wolfsberger AC Analysis →
19:00 Austria Wien vs Blau-Weiss Linz Analysis →