Austria Wien 2-1 Blau-Weiss Linz — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Austria - Bundesliga, 3 Nov 2024

📅03/11/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.86
Draw
23%
3.54
Away
26%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
1.97
Over 2.5
56%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.68
No
45%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
3.69
2-3 Goals
43%
1.82
4-5 Goals
24%
3.28
6+ Goals
10%
11.6
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
2.46
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
9%
13.6
X/1
15%
4.33
X/2
10%
8.09
X/X
8%
5.06
2/1 EV+ ✓
10%
23.15
2/2
11%
5.9
2/X
5%
14.1
Value flag · 2/1 at 23.15 — our 10% vs market 2.1%. Landed.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
50%
+1.0pp
23%
Draw
25%
-2.0pp
26%
Away Win
25%
+1.0pp
44%
Under 2.5
47%
-2.5pp
56%
Over 2.5
53%
+2.5pp
55%
BTTS Yes
56%
-0.7pp
45%
BTTS No
44%
+0.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Austria Wien EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Blau-Weiss Linz EU Bookmakers 29%
+0% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -7%
1.83/1.35 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.94/1.33
+30% / +10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -17% / -9%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
327 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 262 · 70%
24.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.4
19.0 Crosses 16.4
1.9 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Austria Wien
3W-1D-1L
AWAY Blau-Weiss Linz
1.60 Avg Goals (FT) 0.60
1.54 xG 1.23
56% Ball Possession 44%
16 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
363 Passes 240
78% Pass Accuracy 68%
19 Box Touches 15
16 Crosses 15
4 Yellow Cards 2
04.08.2024 Blau-Weiss Linz Blau-Weiss Linz 1-0 HT 0-0 Austria Wien Austria Wien AVU
18.05.2024 Blau-Weiss Linz Blau-Weiss Linz 1-2 HT 0-1 Austria Wien Austria Wien AVU
29.03.2024 Austria Wien Austria Wien 0-0 HT 0-0 Blau-Weiss Linz Blau-Weiss Linz AVU
03.03.2024 Blau-Weiss Linz Blau-Weiss Linz 1-2 HT 1-2 Austria Wien Austria Wien AVU
07.10.2023 Austria Wien Austria Wien 4-0 HT 2-0 Blau-Weiss Linz Blau-Weiss Linz AVU
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Austria Wien
2-1
AWAY Blau-Weiss Linz
1.87 xG 0.41
58% Ball Possession 42%
16 Total Shots 9
8 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 3
340 Passes 228
76% Pass Accuracy 69%
34 Box Touches 13
28 Crosses 18
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Austria Wien vs Blau-Weiss Linz
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Austria Wien squeezed past Blau-Weiss Linz 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

As we said in the preview, our model had Austria Wien as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (55%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Austria Wien had 58% of the ball to Blau-Weiss Linz's 42%, shots finished 16-9, expected goals 1.87 to 0.41 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Austria Wien's control.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Austria Wien had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.60 goals for Austria Wien and 0.60 for Blau-Weiss Linz.

What was the final score of Austria Wien vs Blau-Weiss Linz?

Austria Wien 2-1 Blau-Weiss Linz in the Austria - Bundesliga on 03/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Austria Wien vs Blau-Weiss Linz?

Before kick-off our model rated a Austria Wien win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Austria Wien 51%, draw 23%, Blau-Weiss Linz 26%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Austria Wien), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Austria Wien) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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