Blau-Weiss Linz 1-0 Austria Wien — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Austria - Bundesliga, 4 Aug 2024

📅04/08/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.38
Draw
29%
3.35
Away
32%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.91
Over 2.5
49%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.68
No
48%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.46
2-3 Goals
41%
1.79
4-5 Goals
24%
3.45
6+ Goals
10%
13.1
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
3.51
1/2
6%
28.5
1/X
8%
13.15
X/1
11%
5.33
X/2
13%
5.69
X/X
13%
4.76
2/1
5%
27.5
2/2
13%
3.84
2/X
9%
13.2
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
38%
+0.6pp
29%
Draw
27%
+2.7pp
32%
Away Win
35%
-3.2pp
51%
Under 2.5
48%
+3.0pp
49%
Over 2.5
52%
-3.0pp
52%
BTTS Yes
56%
-3.4pp
48%
BTTS No
44%
+3.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Blau-Weiss Linz EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Austria Wien EU Bookmakers 38%
+3% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +11%
1.16/1.12 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.42/1.33
-1% / +16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / +11%
43% Ball Possession 57%
12 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
252 · 68% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 328 · 74%
18.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.3
16.4 Crosses 18.4
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Blau-Weiss Linz
0W-1D-3L
AWAY Austria Wien
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.03 xG 1.49
45% Ball Possession 55%
11 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
266 Passes 374
71% Pass Accuracy 79%
14 Box Touches 18
14 Crosses 11
2 Yellow Cards 3
18.05.2024 Blau-Weiss Linz Blau-Weiss Linz 1-2 HT 0-1 Austria Wien Austria Wien AVU
29.03.2024 Austria Wien Austria Wien 0-0 HT 0-0 Blau-Weiss Linz Blau-Weiss Linz AVU
03.03.2024 Blau-Weiss Linz Blau-Weiss Linz 1-2 HT 1-2 Austria Wien Austria Wien AVU
07.10.2023 Austria Wien Austria Wien 4-0 HT 2-0 Blau-Weiss Linz Blau-Weiss Linz AVU
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Blau-Weiss Linz
1-0
AWAY Austria Wien
1.83 xG 1.69
39% Ball Possession 61%
7 Total Shots 17
2 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 7
163 Passes 329
60% Pass Accuracy 76%
20 Box Touches 22
18 Crosses 29
3 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Blau-Weiss Linz vs Austria Wien
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Blau-Weiss Linz nicked a narrow win over Austria Wien 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (39% / 29% / 32%) promised a tight game; Blau-Weiss Linz found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Blau-Weiss Linz had 39% of the ball to Austria Wien's 61%, shots finished 7-17, expected goals 1.83 to 1.69.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Austria Wien led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Blau-Weiss Linz and 2.00 for Austria Wien.

What was the final score of Blau-Weiss Linz vs Austria Wien?

Blau-Weiss Linz 1-0 Austria Wien in the Austria - Bundesliga on 04/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Blau-Weiss Linz vs Austria Wien?

Before kick-off our model rated a Blau-Weiss Linz win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Blau-Weiss Linz 39%, draw 29%, Austria Wien 32%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Blau-Weiss Linz), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Blau-Weiss Linz) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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AVU More Austria - Bundesliga
4 Aug 2024
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