Rapid Wien vs Sturm Graz Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Rapid Wien v Sturm Graz — Team-Based Signals
Rapid Wien vs Sturm Graz Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-1
HT 1-1
Sturm Graz
AVU
3-2
HT 2-2
Sturm Graz
AVU
Rapid Wien 1-0 Sturm Graz — Actual Match Statistics
Rapid Wien nicked a narrow win over Sturm Graz 1-0.
We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 30% / 35% — and on the day Rapid Wien made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (56%) came in.
On the day, Rapid Wien had 57% of the ball to Sturm Graz's 43%, shots finished 17-7, expected goals 2.98 to 0.55 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Rapid Wien's control.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sturm Graz led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Rapid Wien and 1.67 for Sturm Graz.
What was the final score of Rapid Wien vs Sturm Graz?
Rapid Wien 1-0 Sturm Graz in the Austria - Bundesliga on 04/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Rapid Wien vs Sturm Graz?
Before kick-off our model rated a Rapid Wien win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Rapid Wien 35%, draw 30%, Sturm Graz 35%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.