Swarovski Tirol 0-1 Rheindorf Altach — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Austria - Bundesliga, 11 May 2024

📅11/05/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
2.84
Draw
29%
2.94
Away
44%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.67
Over 2.5
46%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.82
No
57%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
34%
2.75
2-3 Goals
40%
1.77
4-5 Goals
18%
4.24
6+ Goals
8%
21.0
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.75 — our 34% vs market 30.4%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
4.53
1/2
11%
31.0
1/X
8%
12.8
X/1
6%
6.19
X/2
11%
5.15
X/X
17%
3.88
2/1
6%
34.5
2/2
23%
3.46
2/X
3%
12.55
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
32%
-4.8pp
29%
Draw
30%
-1.7pp
45%
Away Win
38%
+6.5pp
54%
Under 2.5
56%
-2.0pp
46%
Over 2.5
44%
+2.0pp
43%
BTTS Yes
51%
-8.2pp
57%
BTTS No
49%
+8.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Swarovski Tirol EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Rheindorf Altach EU Bookmakers 42%
+6% / +17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -22%
1.29/1.26 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.25/1.57
+63% / +17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / -38%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
286 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 315 · 76%
19.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.0
16.3 Crosses 17.6
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Swarovski Tirol
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Rheindorf Altach
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.06 xG 1.12
55% Ball Possession 45%
10 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
311 Passes 229
74% Pass Accuracy 68%
16 Box Touches 21
16 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 2
05.04.2024 Rheindorf Altach Rheindorf Altach 0-0 HT 0-0 Swarovski Tirol Swarovski Tirol AVU
11.11.2023 Swarovski Tirol Swarovski Tirol 5-1 HT 3-0 Rheindorf Altach Rheindorf Altach AVU
13.08.2023 Rheindorf Altach Rheindorf Altach 1-0 HT 0-0 Swarovski Tirol Swarovski Tirol AVU
02.06.2023 Swarovski Tirol Swarovski Tirol 1-1 HT 1-0 Rheindorf Altach Rheindorf Altach AVU
01.04.2023 Rheindorf Altach Rheindorf Altach 1-0 HT 0-0 Swarovski Tirol Swarovski Tirol AVU
26.02.2023 Rheindorf Altach Rheindorf Altach 0-0 HT 0-0 Swarovski Tirol Swarovski Tirol AVU
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Swarovski Tirol
0-1
AWAY Rheindorf Altach
0.89 xG 0.90
70% Ball Possession 30%
13 Total Shots 9
2 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 0
458 Passes 154
85% Pass Accuracy 66%
18 Box Touches 16
20 Crosses 10
5 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Swarovski Tirol vs Rheindorf Altach
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rheindorf Altach edged past Swarovski Tirol 1-0 away from home.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Rheindorf Altach as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — no to both teams scoring (57%) came in.

On the day, Swarovski Tirol had 70% of the ball to Rheindorf Altach's 30%, shots finished 13-9, expected goals 0.89 to 0.90.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Rheindorf Altach led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Swarovski Tirol and 0.67 for Rheindorf Altach.

What was the final score of Swarovski Tirol vs Rheindorf Altach?

Swarovski Tirol 0-1 Rheindorf Altach in the Austria - Bundesliga on 11/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Swarovski Tirol vs Rheindorf Altach?

Before kick-off our model rated an Rheindorf Altach win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Swarovski Tirol 27%, draw 29%, Rheindorf Altach 45%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Rheindorf Altach), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Rheindorf Altach) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
AVU More Austria - Bundesliga
11 May 2024
18:00 Austria Wien vs Wolfsberger AC Analysis →
18:00 Austria Lustenau vs Blau-Weiss Linz Analysis →