Austria Lustenau 1-0 Blau-Weiss Linz — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Austria - Bundesliga, 11 May 2024

Austria Lustenau
1-0 HT 1-0
Blau-Weiss Linz
📅11/05/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-1 ✗
Austria - Bundesliga – 2023/2024

Austria Lustenau vs Blau-Weiss Linz Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
2.99
Draw
24%
3.11
Away
49%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.71
Over 2.5
46%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.81
No
52%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2.89
2-3 Goals
44%
1.77
4-5 Goals
21%
4.05
6+ Goals
8%
18.9
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
4.83
1/2
8%
28.5
1/X
9%
13.2
X/1
4%
6.51
X/2
21%
4.85
X/X
5%
4.11
2/1
7%
34.5
2/2
21%
3.17
2/X
9%
12.85
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
30%
-2.8pp
24%
Draw
29%
-5.2pp
49%
Away Win
41%
+7.9pp
54%
Under 2.5
55%
-0.5pp
46%
Over 2.5
45%
+0.5pp
48%
BTTS Yes
51%
-3.2pp
52%
BTTS No
49%
+3.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Austria Lustenau v Blau-Weiss Linz — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Austria Lustenau EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY Blau-Weiss Linz EU Bookmakers 45%
-11% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -8%
1.02/1.37 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.67/1.24
+20% / -20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +15% / -41%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 3
292 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 322 · 78%
20.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.3
16.7 Crosses 10.3
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.0

Austria Lustenau vs Blau-Weiss Linz Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Austria Lustenau
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Blau-Weiss Linz
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
0.65 xG 1.00
48% Ball Possession 52%
7 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 4
228 Passes 359
65% Pass Accuracy 73%
10 Box Touches 21
11 Crosses 18
3 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
16.03.2024 Blau-Weiss Linz Blau-Weiss Linz 0-0 HT 0-0 Austria Lustenau Austria Lustenau AVU
10.03.2024 Austria Lustenau Austria Lustenau 2-0 HT 0-0 Blau-Weiss Linz Blau-Weiss Linz AVU
21.10.2023 Blau-Weiss Linz Blau-Weiss Linz 0-0 HT 0-0 Austria Lustenau Austria Lustenau AVU
30.04.2022 Blau-Weiss Linz Blau-Weiss Linz 1-1 HT 1-0 Austria Lustenau Austria Lustenau AU2
22.10.2021 Austria Lustenau Austria Lustenau 0-1 HT 0-0 Blau-Weiss Linz Blau-Weiss Linz AU2
05.03.2021 Austria Lustenau Austria Lustenau 0-2 HT 0-0 Blau-Weiss Linz Blau-Weiss Linz AU2

Austria Lustenau 1-0 Blau-Weiss Linz — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Austria Lustenau
1-0
AWAY Blau-Weiss Linz
1.13 xG 0.93
37% Ball Possession 63%
17 Total Shots 19
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 9
179 Passes 356
62% Pass Accuracy 72%
18 Box Touches 29
18 Crosses 26
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Austria Lustenau vs Blau-Weiss Linz
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Austria Lustenau squeezed past Blau-Weiss Linz 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was Blau-Weiss Linz at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Austria Lustenau had 37% of the ball to Blau-Weiss Linz's 63%, shots finished 17-19, expected goals 1.13 to 0.93.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Blau-Weiss Linz led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Austria Lustenau and 0.67 for Blau-Weiss Linz.

What was the final score of Austria Lustenau vs Blau-Weiss Linz?

Austria Lustenau 1-0 Blau-Weiss Linz in the Austria - Bundesliga on 11/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Austria Lustenau vs Blau-Weiss Linz?

Before kick-off our model rated an Blau-Weiss Linz win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Austria Lustenau 27%, draw 24%, Blau-Weiss Linz 49%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Blau-Weiss Linz) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Blau-Weiss Linz) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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