Austria Wien 0-4 Wolfsberger AC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Austria - Bundesliga, 11 May 2024

📅11/05/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.72
Draw
25%
3.64
Away
28%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.03
Over 2.5
48%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.7
No
48%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
3.93
2-3 Goals
39%
1.84
4-5 Goals
23%
3.15
6+ Goals
11%
10.45
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.93 — our 27% vs market 20.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
2.2
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
8%
13.75
X/1
16%
4.18
X/2
9%
9.52
X/X
10%
5.26
2/1
11%
22.7
2/2
12%
7.0
2/X
7%
14.45
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
54%
-7.0pp
25%
Draw
24%
+0.4pp
28%
Away Win
21%
+6.6pp
52%
Under 2.5
45%
+6.6pp
48%
Over 2.5
55%
-6.6pp
52%
BTTS Yes
55%
-3.2pp
48%
BTTS No
45%
+3.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Austria Wien EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY Wolfsberger AC EU Bookmakers 24%
-1% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +25%
1.85/1.19 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.37/1.58
+16% / +4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +13% / +18%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
339 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 264 · 71%
24.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.5
19.5 Crosses 13.5
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Austria Wien
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Wolfsberger AC
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.57 xG 0.75
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 3
323 Passes 225
71% Pass Accuracy 64%
26 Box Touches 16
20 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 3
13.04.2024 Wolfsberger AC Wolfsberger AC 0-1 HT 0-1 Austria Wien Austria Wien AVU
26.11.2023 Wolfsberger AC Wolfsberger AC 1-0 HT 1-0 Austria Wien Austria Wien AVU
20.08.2023 Austria Wien Austria Wien 0-0 HT 0-0 Wolfsberger AC Wolfsberger AC AVU
13.11.2022 Austria Wien Austria Wien 0-1 HT 0-0 Wolfsberger AC Wolfsberger AC AVU
21.08.2022 Wolfsberger AC Wolfsberger AC 1-2 HT 1-1 Austria Wien Austria Wien AVU
27.04.2022 Wolfsberger AC Wolfsberger AC 1-1 HT 0-0 Austria Wien Austria Wien AVU
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Austria Wien
0-4
AWAY Wolfsberger AC
1.46 xG 2.10
66% Ball Possession 34%
21 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 4
10 Corners 5
318 Passes 120
73% Pass Accuracy 52%
29 Box Touches 20
28 Crosses 6
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Austria Wien vs Wolfsberger AC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Wolfsberger AC ran out comfortable winners over Austria Wien 4-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Austria Wien at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Austria Wien had 66% of the ball to Wolfsberger AC's 34%, shots finished 21-9, expected goals 1.46 to 2.10.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Austria Wien and 0.67 for Wolfsberger AC.

What was the final score of Austria Wien vs Wolfsberger AC?

Austria Wien 0-4 Wolfsberger AC in the Austria - Bundesliga on 11/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Austria Wien vs Wolfsberger AC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Austria Wien win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Austria Wien 47%, draw 25%, Wolfsberger AC 28%. The final score 0-4 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Austria Wien) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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