Boussu Dour Borinage 0-1 RFC Seraing — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belgium - 1st Division, 3 Nov 2024

📅03/11/2024 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.92
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
25%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.91
Over 2.5
48%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.68
No
52%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
23%
3.54
2-3 Goals
43%
1.8
4-5 Goals
23%
3.39
6+ Goals
11%
12.5
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.54 — our 23% vs market 22.9%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
12%
X/2
8%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
11%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
48%
-0.5pp
27%
Draw
26%
+1.1pp
25%
Away Win
26%
-0.6pp
52%
Under 2.5
48%
+3.5pp
48%
Over 2.5
52%
-3.5pp
48%
BTTS Yes
56%
-7.3pp
52%
BTTS No
44%
+7.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Boussu Dour Borinage EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY RFC Seraing EU Bookmakers 29%
-20% / -20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +14% / +11%
1.72/1.28 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.35/1.77
+24% / -49% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / +46%
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
375 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 305 · 78%
28.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.9
23.9 Crosses 21.5
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Boussu Dour Borinage
1W-0D-1L
AWAY RFC Seraing
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.90 xG 1.59
48% Ball Possession 52%
16 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 8
294 Passes 318
78% Pass Accuracy 79%
21 Box Touches 25
21 Crosses 20
4 Yellow Cards 3
14.01.2024 RFC Seraing RFC Seraing 1-5 HT 1-3 Boussu Dour Borinage Boussu Dour Borinage BEL2
30.09.2023 Boussu Dour Borinage Boussu Dour Borinage 0-2 HT 0-0 RFC Seraing RFC Seraing BEL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Boussu Dour Borinage
0-1
AWAY RFC Seraing
0.71 xG 1.93
60% Ball Possession 40%
6 Total Shots 18
2 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 6
369 Passes 206
83% Pass Accuracy 75%
19 Box Touches 26
16 Crosses 22
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Boussu Dour Borinage vs RFC Seraing
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

RFC Seraing squeezed past Boussu Dour Borinage 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Boussu Dour Borinage at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Boussu Dour Borinage had 60% of the ball to RFC Seraing's 40%, shots finished 6-18, expected goals 0.71 to 1.93 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold RFC Seraing's control.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Boussu Dour Borinage and 1.50 for RFC Seraing.

What was the final score of Boussu Dour Borinage vs RFC Seraing?

Boussu Dour Borinage 0-1 RFC Seraing in the Belgium - 1st Division on 03/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Boussu Dour Borinage vs RFC Seraing?

Before kick-off our model rated a Boussu Dour Borinage win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Boussu Dour Borinage 48%, draw 27%, RFC Seraing 25%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Boussu Dour Borinage) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Boussu Dour Borinage) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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