Deinze 3-1 Waasland-Beveren — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belgium - 1st Division, 3 Nov 2024

📅03/11/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
1.8
Draw
27%
3.54
Away
33%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.0
Over 2.5
54%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.68
No
45%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.76
2-3 Goals
39%
1.82
4-5 Goals
22%
3.24
6+ Goals
14%
11.25
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
7%
1/X
9%
X/1
12%
X/2
11%
X/X
8%
2/1
10%
2/2
15%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
52%
-11.6pp
27%
Draw
25%
+2.2pp
33%
Away Win
24%
+9.4pp
46%
Under 2.5
46%
-0.1pp
54%
Over 2.5
54%
+0.1pp
55%
BTTS Yes
56%
-0.8pp
45%
BTTS No
44%
+0.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Deinze EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Waasland-Beveren EU Bookmakers 27%
-4% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -5%
1.37/1.24 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.19/1.02
+14% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -29% / +8%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
322 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 241 · 73%
26.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 25.0
20.0 Crosses 20.7
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Deinze
0W-3D-3L
AWAY Waasland-Beveren
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
0.69 xG 1.84
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 7
6 Corners 5
274 Passes 314
75% Pass Accuracy 77%
19 Box Touches 27
20 Crosses 15
4 Yellow Cards 3
23.02.2024 Waasland-Beveren Waasland-Beveren 2-2 HT 0-0 Deinze Deinze BEL2
29.09.2023 Deinze Deinze 0-0 HT 0-0 Waasland-Beveren Waasland-Beveren BEL2
04.12.2022 Deinze Deinze 1-4 HT 0-1 Waasland-Beveren Waasland-Beveren BEL2
14.10.2022 Waasland-Beveren Waasland-Beveren 2-1 HT 1-0 Deinze Deinze BEL2
13.03.2022 Deinze Deinze 3-3 HT 1-2 Waasland-Beveren Waasland-Beveren BEL2
12.12.2021 Waasland-Beveren Waasland-Beveren 4-1 HT 3-1 Deinze Deinze BEL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Deinze
3-1
AWAY Waasland-Beveren
47% Ball Possession 53%
15 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 2
POST-MATCH Deinze vs Waasland-Beveren
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Deinze beat Waasland-Beveren 3-1.

Our pre-match split (40% / 27% / 33%) promised a tight game; Deinze found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged both teams to score (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Deinze had 47% of the ball to Waasland-Beveren's 53%, shots finished 15-10.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Waasland-Beveren led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Deinze and 2.50 for Waasland-Beveren.

What was the final score of Deinze vs Waasland-Beveren?

Deinze 3-1 Waasland-Beveren in the Belgium - 1st Division on 03/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Deinze vs Waasland-Beveren?

Before kick-off our model rated a Deinze win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Deinze 40%, draw 27%, Waasland-Beveren 33%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Deinze), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Deinze) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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