Atletico Paranaense vs Vitoria Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Atletico Paranaense v Vitoria — Team-Based Signals
Atletico Paranaense vs Vitoria Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-2
HT 0-1
Atletico Paranaense
BR1
4-0
HT 3-0
Vitoria
BR1
2-3
HT 1-1
Atletico Paranaense
BR1
4-1
HT 1-1
Vitoria
BR1
3-2
HT 1-2
Atletico Paranaense
BR1
Atletico Paranaense 1-2 Vitoria — Actual Match Statistics
Vitoria squeezed past Atletico Paranaense 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match lean was Atletico Paranaense at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Atletico Paranaense had 64% of the ball to Vitoria's 36%, shots finished 25-11, expected goals 1.28 to 1.12.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Atletico Paranaense had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 2.67 goals for Atletico Paranaense and 1.17 for Vitoria.
What was the final score of Atletico Paranaense vs Vitoria?
Atletico Paranaense 1-2 Vitoria in the Brazil - Serie A on 03/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Atletico Paranaense vs Vitoria?
Before kick-off our model rated a Atletico Paranaense win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Atletico Paranaense 44%, draw 28%, Vitoria 28%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.