Juventude 0-3 Fortaleza — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Serie A, 3 Nov 2024

📅03/11/2024 · 🕒00:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.38
Draw
28%
3.11
Away
37%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.67
Over 2.5
45%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.85
No
51%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2.69
2-3 Goals
41%
1.77
4-5 Goals
19%
4.35
6+ Goals
10%
22.3
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
3.6
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
10%
13.45
X/1
10%
5.09
X/2
15%
5.72
X/X
13%
4.04
2/1
5%
31.5
2/2
17%
4.24
2/X
5%
13.6
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
38%
-2.7pp
28%
Draw
29%
-1.0pp
37%
Away Win
33%
+3.8pp
55%
Under 2.5
56%
-1.0pp
45%
Over 2.5
44%
+1.0pp
49%
BTTS Yes
50%
-1.2pp
51%
BTTS No
50%
+1.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Juventude EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Fortaleza EU Bookmakers 37%
+2% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / +3%
1.29/1.03 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.13/1.53
-9% / +34% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / -20%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
325 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 328 · 79%
19.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.8
21.5 Crosses 18.9
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Juventude
0W-3D-3L
AWAY Fortaleza
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.17 xG 1.63
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 7
361 Passes 334
82% Pass Accuracy 81%
21 Box Touches 19
22 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 2
30.06.2024 Fortaleza Fortaleza 2-1 HT 2-0 Juventude Juventude BR1
19.09.2022 Juventude Juventude 1-1 HT 0-1 Fortaleza Fortaleza BR1
29.05.2022 Fortaleza Fortaleza 1-1 HT 0-0 Juventude Juventude BR1
04.12.2021 Fortaleza Fortaleza 1-0 HT 0-0 Juventude Juventude BR1
22.08.2021 Juventude Juventude 1-1 HT 0-1 Fortaleza Fortaleza BR1
15.11.2018 Fortaleza Fortaleza 4-1 HT 3-1 Juventude Juventude BR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Juventude
0-3
AWAY Fortaleza
1.23 xG 0.92
60% Ball Possession 40%
17 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
357 Passes 225
83% Pass Accuracy 76%
28 Box Touches 17
32 Crosses 12
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Juventude vs Fortaleza
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Fortaleza swept aside Juventude 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 28% / 37% — and on the day Fortaleza made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Juventude had 60% of the ball to Fortaleza's 40%, shots finished 17-11, expected goals 1.23 to 0.92.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Fortaleza led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Juventude and 1.67 for Fortaleza.

What was the final score of Juventude vs Fortaleza?

Juventude 0-3 Fortaleza in the Brazil - Serie A on 03/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Juventude vs Fortaleza?

Before kick-off our model rated an Fortaleza win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Juventude 36%, draw 28%, Fortaleza 37%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Fortaleza), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Fortaleza) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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