Lyon (K) 1-0 PSG (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Women's 1st Divisioni, 3 Nov 2024

Lyon (K)
1-0 HT 1-0
PSG (K)
📅03/11/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
France - Women's 1st Divisioni – 2024/2025

Lyon (K) vs PSG (K) Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.37
Draw
29%
4.34
Away
20%
6.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.18
Over 2.5
50%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.88
No
44%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
16%
X/2
7%
X/X
13%
2/1
12%
2/2
9%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
68%
-17.7pp
29%
Draw
20%
+9.2pp
20%
Away Win
12%
+8.5pp
50%
Under 2.5
42%
+8.3pp
50%
Over 2.5
58%
-8.4pp
56%
BTTS Yes
49%
+6.9pp
44%
BTTS No
51%
-6.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Lyon (K) v PSG (K) — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lyon (K) EU Bookmakers 73%
Head to Head
AWAY PSG (K) EU Bookmakers 15%
+2% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +4%
2.44/0.35 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.96/0.79
+6% / +136% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +28% / +111%
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
369 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 273 · 74%
42.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.3
27.3 Crosses 8.0
1.2 Yellow Cards 2.0

Lyon (K) vs PSG (K) Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lyon (K)
5W-1D-0L
AWAY PSG (K)
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.53 xG 1.41
45% Ball Possession 55%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
267 Passes 341
75% Pass Accuracy 78%
29 Box Touches 19
19 Crosses 15
1 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
17.05.2024 Lyon (K) Lyon (K) 2-1 HT 2-0 PSG (K) PSG (K) FRK1
28.04.2024 PSG (K) PSG (K) 1-2 HT 1-1 Lyon (K) Lyon (K) ŞMP-K
20.04.2024 Lyon (K) Lyon (K) 3-2 HT 0-1 PSG (K) PSG (K) ŞMP-K
11.02.2024 Lyon (K) Lyon (K) 1-1 HT 0-0 PSG (K) PSG (K) FRK1
30.04.2022 PSG (K) PSG (K) 1-2 HT 0-1 Lyon (K) Lyon (K) ŞMP-K
24.04.2022 Lyon (K) Lyon (K) 3-2 HT 2-1 PSG (K) PSG (K) ŞMP-K

Lyon (K) 1-0 PSG (K) — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lyon (K)
1-0
AWAY PSG (K)
3.13 xG 0.11
68% Ball Possession 32%
29 Total Shots 2
10 Shots on Target 1
15 Corners 2
504 Passes 205
85% Pass Accuracy 70%
50 Box Touches 4
31 Crosses 7
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Lyon (K) vs PSG (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lyon (K) nicked a narrow win over PSG (K) 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Lyon (K) as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — both teams to score (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Lyon (K) had 68% of the ball to PSG (K)'s 32%, shots finished 29-2, expected goals 3.13 to 0.11 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Lyon (K)'s control.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Lyon (K) had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Lyon (K) and 1.33 for PSG (K).

What was the final score of Lyon (K) vs PSG (K)?

Lyon (K) 1-0 PSG (K) in the France - Women's 1st Divisioni on 03/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lyon (K) vs PSG (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Lyon (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Lyon (K) 51%, draw 29%, PSG (K) 20%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Lyon (K)) — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Lyon (K)) ✗ BTTS Yes
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