Go Ahead Eagles 2-2 PEC Zwolle — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eredivisie, 3 Nov 2024

Go Ahead Eagles
2-2 HT 0-2
PEC Zwolle
📅03/11/2024 · 🕒14:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 2-0 ✗
Netherlands - Eredivisie – 2024/2025

Go Ahead Eagles vs PEC Zwolle Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.57
Draw
24%
3.94
Away
22%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
2.1
Over 2.5
46%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.75
No
55%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
24%
4.12
2-3 Goals
42%
1.85
4-5 Goals
23%
3.05
6+ Goals
11%
9.69
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.12 — our 24% vs market 19.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
38%
1.94
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
5%
15.55
X/1
8%
3.86
X/2
8%
11.35
X/X
13%
5.85
2/1
8%
21.85
2/2
9%
8.55
2/X
5%
16.3
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
60%
-5.4pp
23%
Draw
22%
+1.1pp
22%
Away Win
18%
+4.3pp
54%
Under 2.5
44%
+9.6pp
46%
Over 2.5
56%
-9.6pp
45%
BTTS Yes
53%
-8.6pp
55%
BTTS No
47%
+8.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Go Ahead Eagles v PEC Zwolle — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Go Ahead Eagles EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY PEC Zwolle EU Bookmakers 21%
+13% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / +0%
2.29/1.08 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.86/2.10
+23% / +72% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -24% / +1%
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
386 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 288 · 75%
32.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.3
19.5 Crosses 13.5
1.2 Yellow Cards 2.3

Go Ahead Eagles vs PEC Zwolle Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Go Ahead Eagles
2W-2D-2L
AWAY PEC Zwolle
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.54 xG 1.45
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 16
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
262 Passes 279
74% Pass Accuracy 73%
25 Box Touches 26
18 Crosses 26
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
11.02.2024 Go Ahead Eagles Go Ahead Eagles 1-1 HT 0-0 PEC Zwolle PEC Zwolle HOL
17.09.2023 PEC Zwolle PEC Zwolle 1-1 HT 0-0 Go Ahead Eagles Go Ahead Eagles HOL
03.04.2022 PEC Zwolle PEC Zwolle 0-1 HT 0-0 Go Ahead Eagles Go Ahead Eagles HOL
19.09.2021 Go Ahead Eagles Go Ahead Eagles 1-0 HT 0-0 PEC Zwolle PEC Zwolle HOL
19.03.2017 Go Ahead Eagles Go Ahead Eagles 1-3 HT 1-1 PEC Zwolle PEC Zwolle HOL
30.10.2016 PEC Zwolle PEC Zwolle 3-1 HT 1-1 Go Ahead Eagles Go Ahead Eagles HOL

Go Ahead Eagles 2-2 PEC Zwolle — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Go Ahead Eagles
2-2
AWAY PEC Zwolle
2.67 xG 0.54
48% Ball Possession 52%
17 Total Shots 5
7 Shots on Target 3
9 Corners 5
274 Passes 304
73% Pass Accuracy 76%
22 Box Touches 13
19 Crosses 19
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Go Ahead Eagles vs PEC Zwolle
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Go Ahead Eagles and PEC Zwolle couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 0-2.

Our pre-match lean was Go Ahead Eagles at 54%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Go Ahead Eagles had 48% of the ball to PEC Zwolle's 52%, shots finished 17-5, expected goals 2.67 to 0.54.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Go Ahead Eagles and 1.33 for PEC Zwolle.

What was the final score of Go Ahead Eagles vs PEC Zwolle?

Go Ahead Eagles 2-2 PEC Zwolle in the Netherlands - Eredivisie on 03/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Go Ahead Eagles vs PEC Zwolle?

Before kick-off our model rated a Go Ahead Eagles win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Go Ahead Eagles 54%, draw 23%, PEC Zwolle 22%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Go Ahead Eagles) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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