RKC Waalwijk 2-0 Almere City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eredivisie, 3 Nov 2024

📅03/11/2024 · 🕒18:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.53
Draw
29%
3.18
Away
29%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.91
Over 2.5
48%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.66
No
52%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
3.5
2-3 Goals
36%
1.8
4-5 Goals
25%
3.42
6+ Goals
9%
12.8
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.5 — our 30% vs market 23.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
3.79
1/2
6%
28.5
1/X
6%
12.3
X/1
18%
5.81
X/2
8%
5.65
X/X
14%
4.51
2/1
7%
28.5
2/2
15%
3.65
2/X
9%
12.3
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
36%
+5.8pp
29%
Draw
28%
+1.3pp
29%
Away Win
36%
-7.2pp
52%
Under 2.5
48%
+4.0pp
48%
Over 2.5
52%
-4.0pp
48%
BTTS Yes
56%
-8.5pp
52%
BTTS No
44%
+8.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME RKC Waalwijk EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Almere City EU Bookmakers 40%
+7% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +17% / +17%
1.45/1.27 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.40/1.39
+8% / +35% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -33% / +102%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 4
336 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 330 · 75%
24.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.9
18.3 Crosses 15.3
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME RKC Waalwijk
0W-1D-5L
AWAY Almere City
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.19 xG 1.18
56% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 8
6 Corners 5
302 Passes 229
70% Pass Accuracy 66%
21 Box Touches 30
16 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 1
04.04.2024 RKC Waalwijk RKC Waalwijk 0-0 HT 0-0 Almere City Almere City HOL
07.10.2023 Almere City Almere City 1-0 HT 1-0 RKC Waalwijk RKC Waalwijk HOL
15.02.2019 RKC Waalwijk RKC Waalwijk 0-1 HT 0-1 Almere City Almere City HOL2
28.09.2018 Almere City Almere City 2-1 HT 1-0 RKC Waalwijk RKC Waalwijk HOL2
02.04.2018 RKC Waalwijk RKC Waalwijk 0-4 HT 0-2 Almere City Almere City HOL2
27.11.2017 Almere City Almere City 3-2 HT 3-2 RKC Waalwijk RKC Waalwijk HOL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME RKC Waalwijk
2-0
AWAY Almere City
0.74 xG 0.32
44% Ball Possession 56%
11 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 0
4 Corners 4
266 Passes 349
74% Pass Accuracy 77%
15 Box Touches 18
14 Crosses 20
POST-MATCH RKC Waalwijk vs Almere City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

RKC Waalwijk saw off Almere City 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had RKC Waalwijk as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, RKC Waalwijk had 44% of the ball to Almere City's 56%, shots finished 11-8, expected goals 0.74 to 0.32.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Almere City led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for RKC Waalwijk and 1.83 for Almere City.

What was the final score of RKC Waalwijk vs Almere City?

RKC Waalwijk 2-0 Almere City in the Netherlands - Eredivisie on 03/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for RKC Waalwijk vs Almere City?

Before kick-off our model rated a RKC Waalwijk win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split RKC Waalwijk 42%, draw 29%, Almere City 29%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (RKC Waalwijk), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (RKC Waalwijk) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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